Transformation of the New World Order, Multipolarity, and De Facto States: Geopolitical Implications for TRNC, Abkhazia, and Rojava

Led by Mete Hatay

Jan 2025 –

The post-Cold War unipolar world order, dominated by the United States, is increasingly being challenged by a multipolar system in which emerging powers such as China, Russia, and regional actors play influential roles.

This transformation in global geopolitics has profound implications for international relations, particularly for de facto states—political entities that function with varying degrees of independence but lack widespread international recognition. De facto states, such as the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), Abkhazia, and Rojava (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria), exist in contested geopolitical spaces where they navigate complex international dynamics. The shift towards multipolarity may alter the strategic calculations of these entities as new alliances form and global power structures change. This research aims to explore how the transformation of the new world order and the rise of multipolarity impact the political, economic, and security prospects of de facto states. It seeks to assess the potential opportunities and challenges these entities face within the evolving geopolitical landscape.

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