Russia is showing uncharacteristic prudence

Popular Article

Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Russia is showing uncharacteristic prudence, Order from Chaos.

​​In the last couple of months, Moscow has actually been quite prudent. This self-restraint is entirel​y uncharacteristic and is often accompanied by typically assertive language, but it shouldn’t be ignored and deserves a closer look.

​Russia’s attention to the high-level (though not necessarily public) messages from Washington DC can be exploited in the coming months in order to mitigate possible late-summer spasms of hostilities, but it will become particularly importa​nt by the end of the year, when a new U.S. president-elect will be preparing to take office. While Putin and the next American president may not trust each other off the bat, Putin can suspect that the U.S. commander-in-chief may respond in kind to any Russian aggression. Knowing this, it behooves Putin to stick to the prudent path.

Brookings blog

Authors

Pavel K. Baev

Pavel K. Baev

Research Professor

Research Groups