The Impact of China–Russia Partnership on Stability in East Asia

Led by Stein Tønnesson
Jan 2014 - Dec 2016

​This project follows and examines the strategic partnership between Russia and China, the impact these relations have on the pattern of peaceful cooperation and conflict management in East-Asia, and to which extent and how the Ukraine crisis plays into the relationship.

  • To what extent and how does Russia try to influence relations between China and other countries in East Asia? 
  • How much extra leverage could China gain through engaging Russia in its Korea diplomacy, and in its disputes with other East Asian powers?
  • How may other East Asian powers affect the viability of the Russian-Chinese proto-alliance?​

​The project is funded in three phases by the Norwegian Ministry of Defence. It is coordinated with the East Asian Peace program at Uppsala University, led by Stein Tønnesson. 

Research Groups

Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Baev, Pavel K. (2016) "Hybrid War" Is Bad for Business: Russia Seeks in Vain to Upgrade Its Quasi-Alliance with China, Journal of Defense Studies and Resource Management 4(1): 1–6.
Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Russia's pivot to China goes astray: The impact on the Asia-Pacific security architecture, Contemporary Security Policy 37(1): 89–110.
Baev, Pavel K. & Stein Tønnesson (2015) Can Russia keep its special ties with Vietnam while moving closer and closer to China?, International Area Studies Review 18(3): 312–325.

Popular Article

Baev, Pavel K. (2016) A String of Intrigues on Putin's Eastern Tour, Eurasia Daily Monitor.
Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Russia underperforms at pivoting , Policy Forum.
Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Russia's Pivot to China Is Reduced to High-Level Bonhomie, Eurasia Daily Monitor.
Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Russia Seeks to Reenergize Its Pivot to the East, Eurasia Daily Monitor.
Baev, Pavel K. (2016) The precarious China-Russia partnership erodes security in East Asia, Contemporary Security Policy Blog.
Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Иллюзия эффективности: Куда летят поссийские ВВС? [Illusion of effectiveness: Where the Russian Air Force is going?], RBC.Ru.
Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Russia’s Economic Degradation as Putin’s New Norm, Eurasia Daily Monitor.
Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Russian Strategy Seeks to Defy Economic Decline With Military Bravado, Eurasia Daily Monitor.
Tønnesson, Stein (2015) Krigshistorien sett fra øst: Når Kina markerer krigens slutt i morgen, stadfestes også partnerskapet mellom Kina og Russland [War History in an Eastern Perspective: When China celebrates the end of WW2 tomorrow, it also reconfirms its partnership with Russia], Klassekampen.

Report - External Series

Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Mistrust sets low ceiling for Russia-China partnership, PONARS Eurasia memo, 447. Washington DC: George Washington University.

Book Review

Baev, Pavel K. (2016) Review of David Shambaugh, ed., China's Future, in JPR .