Stress-Test for Chinese Restraint: China Evaluates Russia’s Use of Force

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Tønnesson, Stein & Pavel K. Baev (2017) Stress-Test for Chinese Restraint: China Evaluates Russia’s Use of Force, Strategic Analysis 41(2): 139–151.

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​The article discusses if China will be inspired by its strategic partner Russia to use force as an instrument of its foreign policy. After a pro et con discussion the authors find that the disincentives created by the Russian example are likely to convince China that it should continue to show restraint under the ‘peaceful development’ formula, and avoid military adventures. The East Asian Peace is thus not seriously threatened, at least not by China—for now.

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