Russian regime-aligned geopolitical experts predict that Iran will ultimately withstand the U.S.–Israeli attack. U.S. moves against Russia’s partners, however, may be dangerous for the Kremlin. Cuba may come under more U.S. pressure, and Russia’s inability to help its traditional partners would be exposed yet again. Trump may opt to reduce tensions with the People’s Republic of China and offer to cut tariffs during his visit scheduled for April, shrinking Russia’s space for political maneuvering. In any case, Putin does not want to be held responsible for taking the side of U.S. adversaries, so reports that the Kremlin is providing intelligence to Iran are certain to be vigorously denied.
Baev, Pavel K. (2026) Russia expects Iran to endure US-Israeli strikes, Eurasia Daily Monitor (1–2). 9 March.