Widening the ceasefire toolkit: The promise of geophysical monitoring in Ukraine and beyond

Report – other

Dando, Ben D. E.; Kjølv Egeland & Sebastian Schutte (2025) Widening the ceasefire toolkit: The promise of geophysical monitoring in Ukraine and beyond. European Leadership Network.

Read the report here

Any monitoring mission deployed to observe an end to the hostilities in Ukraine is likely to incorporate a range of remote-sensing technologies to support its verification activities. Previous monitoring missions have relied primarily on satellite imaging, camera-drones, and stationary CCTV as technical tools to support onsite observers.

This policy brief by Dr Ben D.E. Dando, Dr Kjølv Egeland, and Dr Sebastian Schutte, finds that scientific advances and a growing availability of relevant data have made geophysical or ‘seismo-acoustic’ analysis a cost-effective means of complementing, backing up, and in some cases replacing other ceasefire monitoring technologies. Analysing small vibrations in the earth and/or air, a seismo-acoustic monitoring solution could help detect conflict-related explosions in all environments, including areas deep behind the prospective line of separation. Seismo-acoustic techniques could also help monitor the integrity of borders, demilitarised zones, or weapon stores.

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