Sebastian Schutte
Senior Researcher
Email: sebsch@prio.org
Latest publications
All publications
A Monte Carlo analysis of false inference in spatial conflict event studies
Journal Article in PLOS One
How indiscriminate violence fuels conflicts between groups: Evidence from Kenya
Journal Article in Social Science Research
How Fear of Violence Drives Intergroup Conflict: Evidence from a Panel Survey in India
Journal Article in Terrorism and Political Violence
Climatic conditions are weak predictors of asylum migration
Journal Article in Nature Communications
Politics or prejudice? Explaining individual-level hostilities in India’s Hindu–Muslim conflict
Journal Article in International Interactions
Geographic Determinants of Indiscriminate Violence in Civil Wars
Journal Article in Conflict Management and Peace Science
Regions at Risk: Predicting Conflict Zones in African Insurgencies
Journal Article in Political Science Research and Methods
Violence and civilian loyalties: Evidence from Afghanistan
Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
The Political Legacy of Violence: The Long-Term Impact of Stalin’s Repression in Ukraine
Journal Article in The Journal of Politics
Geography, outcome, and casualties: A unified model of insurgency
Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
Latest news
Ukraine: PRIO Expertise
The most relevant PRIO researchers to comment on aspects relevant to the Russia-Ukraine War are listed here.
Peace Science Infrastructure: PRIO to Head Large New Collaboration
Friday, we got to know that a large project has been funded by the Research Council of Norway's INFRASTRUKTUR initiative, that aims to build up relevant, up-to-date infrastructure that is accessible to the research community, to various private and public sector user groups, and to the general public.
5 PRIO Projects Funded by the Research Council of Norway
Today we got the news that five PRIO-led projects have succeeded in the most competitive calls for funding from the Research Council of Norway.
"I am immensely pleased with this outcome", says PRIO Director Henrik Urdal. "These projects address core challenges for the international society, and will provide novel knowledge to support policy decisions".
New Project on Online Dangerous Speech and Violence (ODAS)
The ambition of the ODAS project is to explain how online dangerous speech contributes to communal violence in Southeast Asia. The ultimate ambition of ODAS is to test a causal connection between dangerous online speech and violence. To do so, speech and violence data must be merged.
This is one out of five PRIO projects that today have received funding from the Research Council of Norway.
The Legacy of Racial Violence - New Project
The Legacy of Racial Violence project seeks to address gaps in our understanding of how past racial violence affects contemporary communities, using the US as a critical research case. process by which communities address those aftereffects through restorative acts.
This is one out of five PRIO projects that today have received funding from the Research Council of Norway.
What predicts asylum migration flows?
In a new study published in Nature Communications, PRIO researchers use a machine-learning analysis framework to identify leading predictors of contemporary asylum migration to the European Union. The study finds little evidence that climatic shocks or deteriorating economic conditions predict near-future arrivals of asylum seekers in Europe, contrasting commonly held notions of economy- and climate-driven asylum migrants. Instead, indicators capturing levels of political violence and violations of physical integrity rights in countries of origin are important predictors of asylum migration flows, suggesting that migrants are continuing to use the asylum system as intended – i.e., to seek international protection from a well-founded fear of persecution – despite the fact that most applicants ultimately are rejected refugee status. The article is a product of the ERC-funded CLIMSEC project and is published as open access.
Schutte, Sebastian; Jonas Vestby, Jørgen Carling &
Halvard Buhaug (2021) Climatic
conditions are weak predictors of asylum migration, Nature Communications 12:
2067.
PRIO Joins EU Network of Non-Proliferation and disarmament think tanks
PRIO has now joined the European Network of non-proliferation and disarmament think tanks, established by the EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Consortium. The Network gathers researchers who wish to share their work with their academic colleagues, as well as with both European authorities and the key decision-makers within EU Member States.
Beyond the COVID Curve: PRIO launches new blog series
COVID-19 has quickly changed everything from our daily routines, to the policies of governments, to the fortunes of the global economy. How will it continue to shape society and the conditions for peace and conflict globally in the near future and long after we manage to get the virus under control?
Latest blog posts
Without Clear Goals in Ukraine, All Nations Are “Fighting with the Last War” and That’s a Big Problem.
NATO Should Pursue Peace over Victory in Ukraine. Here Is Why and How.
In 2016, I identified four future developments that would justify the Trump-Hitler comparison. Here are the results.
Reviewed Peer Review
Preventing a Catastrophic COVID Crisis in America
