The Middle East Paradoxon : Can a new regional order emerge after disruption?

Report – external series

Wieland, Carsten (2025) The Middle East Paradoxon : Can a new regional order emerge after disruption?. FES briefing . Nicosia: FES Cyprus .

Developments in the Middle East have increasingly been drawn into the whirlpool of disruptive politics. Logics of conventional politics to bring about change or mitigate shocks have been left with limited explanatory power. This obviously culminated in US President Trump’s “Riviera Plan” for the Gaza Strip as a shock-and-awe tactic to shift the goal post and make everything else look reasonable that comes afterwards. His erratic style of negotiation or rather power-based imposition of outcomes is part of a strategy of disruption, plus intended disorientation at times. Equally part of it is the nature of warfare by the Israeli government in Gaza or the uninhibited display of fantasies of expulsion and ethnic cleansing by parts of the cabinet led by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

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