How Should We Understand Patterns of Recurring Conflict?

PRIO Policy Brief

Jarland, Julie; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Scott Gates; Emilie Hermansen & Vilde Bergstad Larsen (2020) How Should We Understand Patterns of Recurring Conflict?, Conflict Trends, 3. Oslo: PRIO.

Civil wars trap countries in recurring cycles of violent conflict. About half of all conflict episodes and nearly 35% of all dyadic pairs of belligerents have recurred. In order to assess the global trends of conflict recurrence, we developed an original database. The PRIO Conflict Recurrence Database examines recurrence in terms of the actors fighting, the issues of contention, and the territory contested. This brief presents the conflict recurrence patterns that emerged, revealing that unaddressed grievances stand in the way of lasting peace.

Authors

Julie Jarland

Julie Jarland

Research Assistant

Håvard Mokleiv Nygård

Håvard Mokleiv Nygård

Research Director

Scott Gates

Scott Gates

Research Professor

Emilie Hermansen

Emilie Hermansen

Master's Student

Vilde Bergstad Larsen

Vilde Bergstad Larsen

Master's Student

Research Groups

Projects