The US nuclear umbrella over Europe was a myth
Is it possible to imagine that one state would risk its own destruction in defence of another state?
Policy Brief
Beyond a Comprehensive Settlement in Cyprus: CBMs and the Reinstatement of Maronite and Buffer Zone Villages
PRIO Cyprus Centre Policy Brief
PRIO Paper
Conflict Trends: A Global Overview, 1946–2024
PRIO Paper
Lawyers and the resilience of the liberal international order
In times of political crisis and attacks against the foundations of political liberalism, can we put our trust in lawyers and other legal occupations to fight for our freedoms, when they are under attack?
Russian retribution for daring Ukrainian strike is postponed. Perhaps indefinitely
The scale and character of Russian retaliation in the aftermath of the daring Ukrainian attack on four Russian aviation bases on June 1 have yet to be revealed.
Russia’s influence in Middle East takes hit from Israeli strikes
Israel’s decision to launch a series of missile and bomb strikes on Iran on June 13 was a shocking surprise for Moscow, where the working assumption had been centered on the presumably protracted U.S.-Iranian talks on the limitations of the nuclea...
Journal Article
Armed conflict and birthweight: The role of organized violence and anti-coca fumigation in Colombia
Journal article in Social Science & Medicine
Popular Article
Russia's maximalist demands undermine peace talks despite mounting domestic strains
Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor
Popular Article
Russian retribution for daring Ukrainian strike is postponed, perhaps indefinitely
Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor
Peace research is not defense research: Time to insist on tougher questions
It requires greater engagement from us as a peace research community to show why peace itself is important — indeed, the most important — public good of our time.
Russia’s maximalist demands undermine peace talks despite mounting domestic strains
The key goal of the most recent round of talks between Russia and Ukraine, held on Monday, June 2, in Istanbul, is supposed to be an exchange of memoranda on the conditions for ending the war.
Friday, 23 May 2025
Near Gender Parity in Norwegian Academia - Professorships the Final Frontier
A new analysis of gender trends in Norwegian academia shows that gender balance has been largely achieved among researchers, with professorships now the final step toward parity.
Putin holds firm to war course, conjuring mirage of victory
The fever of diplomatic battles around Russia’s war against Ukraine in the first three weeks of May has broken, leaving few meaningful results.
Putin Uses Victory Day Spectacle to Mask War Fatigue and Court Partners
The propaganda machine was switched to the maximum volume, turning the sombre memories of tragic battles and painful sacrifices into a celebration of militarism.
Hunger, Displacement, and Occupation in Gaza
Outside Gaza, aid convoys are lined up. Food. Water. Medicine. The trucks are not allowed into Gaza because Israel is using humanitarian aid as a political tool to force Hamas into submission.
National Security and Defense Research: The Imperative of Academic Freedom and Open Debate
What kind of peace and security is to be established, nourished and preserved through the collaborative efforts to support and develop the Norwegian military?
Crisis and deglobalization: Contributions of research and the role of researchers
Humanitarian aid, development cooperation, migration governance and multilateralism have long been declared to be ‘in crisis’, but are currently experiencing unprecedented systemic shocks.
Friday, 9 May 2025
In Times of Rising Conflict, UN Seminar Showcases Inclusive Approaches to Peace Mediation
Mediators, peacebuilders and policymakers gathered in Porvoo, Finland for the 14th UN High-Level Seminar on Gender and Inclusive Mediation Strategies.
Journal Article
Online speech and communal conflict: Evidence from India
Journal article in PNAS Nexus
Why Would Humans Do Anything Boring, Difficult or Dangerous in Star Wars? Science Fiction’s Reluctance to Embrace Its Own Technology.
This blog post contains spoilers for the first series in Andor, and other science fiction shows.
Defense Procurement and Democratic Debate: From Depoliticization to Repoliticization
Public deliberation on defense procurement could have focused on regulations, reform, or corruption. It has not.
Russia May be Switching Tactics From Sabotage of Peace Deal to Bargaining
On April 28, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a three-day ceasefire in his war against Ukraine in the lead-up to the commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the Second World War (President of Russia, April 28). The ceasefire is due to b...
The Hype, Delusions and Risks of the Arctic Geopolitics
The surge of political attention to the Arctic may appear counter-intuitive to the experts overtaxed with assessing the consequences of the global trade war, perplexed by the deadlock of the Ukraine War, and frustrated by the deepening indifferenc...
Popular Article
Global trade war does not diminish pressure on Russia to end its war
Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor
Global Trade War Does Not Diminish Pressure on Russia to End Its War
Russia is not directly affected by the new U.S. trade tariffs. The effects on its economy are profound, while the political effects are open to interpretation.
Global Trade Wars: All Against All — But Where is Africa?
The trade war, unilaterally launched by Donald Trump on April 1, 2025, will go down in global history as a hostile act against globalization and international rules — rules that were once defended by the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the Unit...
What Now for Humanitarian Studies?
Humanitarianism has long been in crisis, but since early 2025 the sector has been experiencing an unprecedented organizational, institutional, normative, and political collapse. As scholars active in the broad, inter-, and multidisciplinary field ...
There’s a Path Forward for Turkey-Greece Cooperation — but It Requires a Dose of Realism
In the Eastern Mediterranean, tensions are largely the norm rather than the exception. Greece and Turkey, two stable states and NATO allies, enjoy largely peaceful unneighborly relations, despite occasional tension between them.
American Democracy is in Danger, but Not Dead
Trump and his supporters are undermining American democracy, posing a real threat of democratic breakdown. The consequences would be dramatic, extending far beyond the United States. However, there is still a good chance that democracy, in the end...
Wednesday, 26 Feb 2025
New Results from Prediction Challenge That Seeks to Improve Conflict Forecasting
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge invites researchers to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution, fully accounting for uncertainty to improve decision-making and crisis preparedness.