Michael Weintraub

Senior Researcher

Research Interests

My interests lie at the intersection of international security and comparative politics, with a focus on armed group behavior in civil war, politically-motivated violence, and organized criminality. I'm particularly interested in historical legacies of violence and how they affect contemporary outcomes. To study these and other topics I use a combination of experimental and quasi-experimental methods, as well as qualitative case studies. While I wrote my dissertation on Colombia, and live in Bogotá, I have expanded my geographic focus to Mexico and the three countries in the so-called "Northern Triangle" of Central America: El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras. 

I am co-PI on a $5 million project supported by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) - El Salvador that seeks to build regional institutional capacity on citizen security policies, promote evidence-based public policies, and disseminate best practices in the Northern Triangle. 

Background

​I am an Associate Professor at the Escuela de Gobierno Alberto Lleras Camargo at Universidad de los Andes in Bogotá, Colombia, and a Senior Researcher at Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO). 

Publications

​2018. “Trust in the Executive: Requiring Consensus and Turn-Taking in the Experimental Lab,” with T. Clark Durant, Daniel Houser, and Shuwen Li. Journal of Peace Research 55(5): 609-624. 

2018. “Disappearing Dissent? Repression and State Consolidation in Mexico,” with Javier Osorio and Livia Schubiger. Journal of Peace Research 55(2): 252–266. Part of special issue on archival re- search edited by Laia Balcells and Chris Sullivan. 

2017. “Doctrine and Violence: the Impact of Combatant Training on Civilian Killings,” with Ben Oppenheim. Terrorism and Political Violence 29(6): 1126-1148. 

2016. “Do All Good Things Go Together? Development Assistance and Violence in Civil War.” Journal of Politics 78(4): 989-1002. 

2015. “True Believers, Deserters, and Traitors: Who Leaves Insurgent Groups and Why,” with Ben Oppenheim, Abbey Steele and Juan F. Vargas. Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(5): 794-823. Part of special issue on militias, edited by Corinna Jentzsch, Livia Schubiger, and Stathis N. Kalyvas. 

2015. “Vote Choice and Legacies of Violence: Evidence from the 2014 Colombian Presidential Elections,” with Juan F. Vargas and Thomas Flores. Research & Politics 2(2). 

2015. “Bargaining Between Rebel Groups and the Outside Option of Violence,” with Håvard Mokleiv Nygård. Terrorism and Political Violence 27(3): 557-580. 

2014. “How to Make Democracy Self-Enforcing after Civil War,” with T. Clark Durant. Conflict Management and Peace Science 31(5): 521-540. 

2014. “An Institutional Remedy for Ethnic Patronage Politics,” with T. Clark Durant. Journal of Theoretical Politics 26(1): 59-78. 

2012. “Altruism, Righteousness and Myopia,” with T. Clark Durant. Critical Review 23(3): 257-302. 

Recent Publications

Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Percepciones y vivencias en relación con el Acuerdo de Paz en Colombia, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.

All Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv & Michael Weintraub (2015) Bargaining Between Rebel Groups and the Outside Option of Violence, Terrorism and Political Violence 27(3): 557–580.

PRIO Policy Brief

Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv & Michael Weintraub (2016) Rejecting Peace? Legacies of Violence in Colombia, Conflict Trends, 4. Oslo: PRIO.

PRIO Paper

Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Percepciones y vivencias en relación con el Acuerdo de Paz en Colombia, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Perceptions of and Experience with the Peace Process in Colombia, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Mesetas, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Actitudes hacia la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz en Mesetas [Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Mesetas], PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2017) Actitudes hacia la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz en Tumaco [Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Tumaco], PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2017) Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Tumaco, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.