Paola Vesco: Bibliography
22 publications
The underreported death toll of wars: a probabilistic reassessment from a survey with UCDP coders
Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
Responsible use of artificial intelligence and machine learning for food security early warning systems
Journal article in Nature Food
Challenges for security: conflict and cooperation in the Mediterranean
Environmental Change, Conflict, and Human Migration in the Mediterranean Basin, MedECC Reports.
Zero hunger is not achievable without peace
Journal article in Nature Food
Key factors of violent natural resource-related conflicts and their implications for post-conflict forest landscape restoration: a systematic review of the resource-conflict nexus using causal network analysis.
Journal article in Sustainability Science
Sudan’s death toll in 2025 could be as high as 100,000: how we did the count
Popular article in The Conversation
The impacts of armed conflict on climate action (SDG 13): a review of the literature
Book chapter in The Elgar Companion to Peace and the Sustainable Development Goals
The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature
Journal article in World Development
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Political development predicts reduced human cost of flooding
Journal article in Nature Communications
Hvorfor Norge ikke har råd til å kutte i fredsbygging
Popular article in Dagsavisen
Peace and good institutions save lives from floods
Popular article in United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)
Towers of Ivory and Steel: How Israeli Universities Deny Palestinian Freedom
Book review in JPR Book Notes
The Results of a Prediction Competition Suggest the Fog of War Can Be Partially Lifted
Popular article in PRIO Blogs
United they stand: Findings from an escalation prediction competition
Journal article in International Interactions
Lessons from an escalation prediction competition
Journal article in International Interactions
Moving from Reaction to Action: Anticipating Vulnerability Hotspots in the Sahel
Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict: Forecasts for April 2022-March 2025
Forecasting Fatalities
Climate variability, crop and conflict: Exploring the impacts of spatial concentration in agricultural production
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
ViEWS 2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Climate and conflict
Book chapter in Routledge Handbook of Peace, Security and Development
