PRIO Paper
2026
Press release
Monday, 8 Jun 2026
The number of armed conflicts fought directly between states doubled in 2025, reaching the highest level recorded in over 80 years, according to PRIO’s annual report mapping global conflict trends.
Journal article
Journal article in Nature Communications
Recorded event
Tuesday, 9 Jun 2026 09:00–10:30 UTC+02
Join us for the launch of PRIO’s annual global conflict overview, Conflict Trends: A Global Overview, 1946–2025.
Wednesday, 10 Dec 2025
Ukraine, Palestine/Israel, Sudan, Pakistan and Nigeria are projected to see the highest battle-related death tolls in 2026, according to a world-leading AI-driven conflict forecasting system.
Comment
Saturday, 7 Mar 2026
In 2024, 676 million women lived in proximity to conflict, that is almost every 6th woman in the world — the highest number and proportion ever recorded.
2025
Journal article in Environmental Research Letters
Policy brief
Conflict Trends
Scott Gates
Research Professor
Nils Petter Gleditsch
Håvard Hegre
Henrik Urdal
Håvard Strand
Senior Researcher
Stein Tønnesson
Research Professor Emeritus
Halvard Buhaug
Research Director
Gudrun Østby
Ragnhild Nordås
Siri Aas Rustad
Øystein H. Rolandsen
Andreas Forø Tollefsen
Ida Rudolfsen
Júlia Palik
Paola Vesco
Eric Stollenwerk
Sebastian Schutte
Kristina Petrova
Research Associate
Chandler Williams
Doctoral Researcher
Linn Åmot
Research Assistant
Lion Kircheis
Doctoral Researcher at University of Konstanz
Dylan Dornin Pinheiro
Machine Learning Developer
Camilo Espinosa-Díaz
Jul 2013 –
Led by Siri Aas Rustad
Jun 2018 –
Ceasefires
Oct 2019 –
VIEWS: Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System
Led by Håvard Hegre
Jan 2020 –
Conflict Trends Reporting
Aug 2021 –
Unlocking Sub-Saharan Africa's Demographic Dividend: Youth Bulges, Human Capital and Insecurity
Led by Bintu Zahara Sakor
Dec 2022 –
ANTICIPATE: Anticipating the Impact of Armed Conflict on Human Development
May 2023 – Apr 2028
Peace Science Infrastructure
Led by Scott Gates
