Michael Weintraub

Senior Researcher

Michael Weintraub
Michael Weintraub left PRIO in 2019. The information on this page is kept for historical reasons.

Research Interests

My interests lie at the intersection of international security and comparative politics, with a focus on armed group behavior in civil war, politically-motivated violence, and organized criminality. I'm particularly interested in historical legacies of violence and how they affect contemporary outcomes. To study these and other topics I use a combination of experimental and quasi-experimental methods, as well as qualitative case studies. While I wrote my dissertation on Colombia, and live in Bogotá, I have expanded my geographic focus to Mexico and the three countries in the so-called "Northern Triangle" of Central America: El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras. 

I am co-PI on a $5 million project supported by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) - El Salvador that seeks to build regional institutional capacity on citizen security policies, promote evidence-based public policies, and disseminate best practices in the Northern Triangle. 

Background

​I am an Associate Professor at the Escuela de Gobierno Alberto Lleras Camargo at Universidad de los Andes in Bogotá, Colombia, and a Senior Researcher at Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO). 

Publications

​2018. “Trust in the Executive: Requiring Consensus and Turn-Taking in the Experimental Lab,” with T. Clark Durant, Daniel Houser, and Shuwen Li. Journal of Peace Research 55(5): 609-624. 

2018. “Disappearing Dissent? Repression and State Consolidation in Mexico,” with Javier Osorio and Livia Schubiger. Journal of Peace Research 55(2): 252–266. Part of special issue on archival re- search edited by Laia Balcells and Chris Sullivan. 

2017. “Doctrine and Violence: the Impact of Combatant Training on Civilian Killings,” with Ben Oppenheim. Terrorism and Political Violence 29(6): 1126-1148. 

2016. “Do All Good Things Go Together? Development Assistance and Violence in Civil War.” Journal of Politics 78(4): 989-1002. 

2015. “True Believers, Deserters, and Traitors: Who Leaves Insurgent Groups and Why,” with Ben Oppenheim, Abbey Steele and Juan F. Vargas. Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(5): 794-823. Part of special issue on militias, edited by Corinna Jentzsch, Livia Schubiger, and Stathis N. Kalyvas. 

2015. “Vote Choice and Legacies of Violence: Evidence from the 2014 Colombian Presidential Elections,” with Juan F. Vargas and Thomas Flores. Research & Politics 2(2). 

2015. “Bargaining Between Rebel Groups and the Outside Option of Violence,” with Håvard Mokleiv Nygård. Terrorism and Political Violence 27(3): 557-580. 

2014. “How to Make Democracy Self-Enforcing after Civil War,” with T. Clark Durant. Conflict Management and Peace Science 31(5): 521-540. 

2014. “An Institutional Remedy for Ethnic Patronage Politics,” with T. Clark Durant. Journal of Theoretical Politics 26(1): 59-78. 

2012. “Altruism, Righteousness and Myopia,” with T. Clark Durant. Critical Review 23(3): 257-302. 

Recent Publications

Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Michael Weintraub & Abbey Steele (2019) Colombia’s historic peace agreement with the FARC is fraying. We talked to 1,700 Colombians to understand why., Washington Post, 7 August.

All Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Weintraub, Michael; T. Clark Durant; Shuwen Li & Dan Houser (2018) Trust in the Executive: Requiring Consensus and Turn-Taking in the Experimental Lab, Journal of Peace Research 55(5): 609–624.
Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv & Michael Weintraub (2015) Bargaining Between Rebel Groups and the Outside Option of Violence, Terrorism and Political Violence 27(3): 557–580.

Popular Article

Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Michael Weintraub & Abbey Steele (2019) Colombia’s historic peace agreement with the FARC is fraying. We talked to 1,700 Colombians to understand why., Washington Post, 7 August.

PRIO Policy Brief

Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv & Michael Weintraub (2016) Rejecting Peace? Legacies of Violence in Colombia, Conflict Trends, 4. Oslo: PRIO.

PRIO Paper

Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Percepciones y vivencias en relación con el Acuerdo de Paz en Colombia, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Perceptions of and Experience with the Peace Process in Colombia, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Mesetas, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Actitudes hacia la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz en Mesetas [Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Mesetas], PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2017) Actitudes hacia la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz en Tumaco [Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Tumaco], PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2017) Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Tumaco, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.