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Tuesday, 17 Jun 2025


PRIO partners in major European Research Council project on the conduct of war

PRIO is proud to announce its partnership in a major new European Research Council-funded research initiative.

The asylum paradox – yes. But what now?

Stating that the asylum system in Europe is dysfunctional, is hardly a novelty. It’s even been described as contributing to what has been referred to as an “asylum paradox.”

Friday, 6 Jun 2025


The Complex Risk Analytics Fund supports new project on Women’s Empowerment in War and Peace: EMPOW

EMPOW is a two-year initiative designed to provide novel open access data on women's mobilization for peace and gender equality reforms in the wake of war.

Lawyers and the resilience of the liberal international order

In times of political crisis and attacks against the foundations of political liberalism, can we put our trust in lawyers and other legal occupations to fight for our freedoms, when they are under attack?

Russian retribution for daring Ukrainian strike is postponed. Perhaps indefinitely

The scale and character of Russian retaliation in the aftermath of the daring Ukrainian attack on four Russian aviation bases on June 1 have yet to be revealed.

Putin holds firm to war course, conjuring mirage of victory

The fever of diplomatic battles around Russia’s war against Ukraine in the first three weeks of May has broken, leaving few meaningful results.

Russia’s maximalist demands undermine peace talks despite mounting domestic strains

The key goal of the most recent round of talks between Russia and Ukraine, held on Monday, June 2, in Istanbul, is supposed to be an exchange of memoranda on the conditions for ending the war.

Book Chapter


Early Warning Systems for Natural Disaster Using AI to Enhance Emergency Communication and Citizen Participation

Book chapter in Advancements in AI and ML for Early Warning Systems in Natural Disaster Detection

National Security and Defense Research: The Imperative of Academic Freedom and Open Debate

What kind of peace and security is to be established, nourished and preserved through the collaborative efforts to support and develop the Norwegian military?

Crisis and deglobalization: Contributions of research and the role of researchers

Humanitarian aid, development cooperation, migration governance and multilateralism have long been declared to be ‘in crisis’, but are currently experiencing unprecedented systemic shocks.

Why Would Humans Do Anything Boring, Difficult or Dangerous in Star Wars? Science Fiction’s Reluctance to Embrace Its Own Technology.

This blog post contains spoilers for the first series in Andor, and other science fiction shows.

Journal Article


The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty

Journal article in Journal of Peace Research

Report – Other


Time for a Reset: Development Cooperation at the Crossroads

Norad-innsamlede rapporter

Putin Weighs Risks of U.S. Readiness to Move on From Stalled Peace Efforts in Ukraine

The Kremlin has used delays and distractions to gain all the time and concessions available to it before seriously engaging in peace talks, or at least a genuine pause, in its war against Ukraine. Russian President Vladimir Putin will soon be comp...

The Hype, Delusions and Risks of the Arctic Geopolitics

The surge of political attention to the Arctic may appear counter-intuitive to the experts overtaxed with assessing the consequences of the global trade war, perplexed by the deadlock of the Ukraine War, and frustrated by the deepening indifferenc...

Putin’s Warpath Goes Through Arctic

Russia’s war against Ukraine is stuck in a rigid deadlock. The prospect of agreeing on a ceasefire, which had appeared within reach a couple of weeks ago, has, however, become distant and blurred.

Global Trade War Does Not Diminish Pressure on Russia to End Its War

Russia is not directly affected by the new U.S. trade tariffs. The effects on its economy are profound, while the political effects are open to interpretation.

Global Trade Wars: All Against All — But Where is Africa?

The trade war, unilaterally launched by Donald Trump on April 1, 2025, will go down in global history as a hostile act against globalization and international rules — rules that were once defended by the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the Unit...

How Should Europe Respond to the Demonstrations in Turkey?

All across Turkey, a battle is being waged over the country’s future. For more than a decade, the country’s democratic institutions have steadily deteriorated and now thousands have taken to the streets in an attempt to save the remains of its dem...

There’s a Path Forward for Turkey-Greece Cooperation — but It Requires a Dose of Realism

In the Eastern Mediterranean, tensions are largely the norm rather than the exception. Greece and Turkey, two stable states and NATO allies, enjoy largely peaceful unneighborly relations, despite occasional tension between them.

American Democracy is in Danger, but Not Dead

Trump and his supporters are undermining American democracy, posing a real threat of democratic breakdown. The consequences would be dramatic, extending far beyond the United States. However, there is still a good chance that democracy, in the end...

Wednesday, 26 Feb 2025


New Results from Prediction Challenge That Seeks to Improve Conflict Forecasting

The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge invites researchers to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution, fully accounting for uncertainty to improve decision-making and crisis preparedness.

Contesting the AI-Cybersecurity Nexus: Lessons Learned from the United Kingdom

In an age where so-called artificial intelligence (AI) seems to revolutionise every corner of our lives, it’s no surprise that its intersection with cybersecurity has become a major focus for governments worldwide. Where cybersecurity and AI were ...

How Colombia’s Disarmament Process Transformed Weapons Into Symbols of Peace

In 2016, the Colombian government and the guerrilla group FARC-EP ended their five decade-long war. As part of the peace agreement, FARC-EP’s weapons had to be collected, a process known as disarmament. By 2017, UN observers had received and remov...

Trump’s Logic of Deal-Making Versus Putin’s Logic of War-Making

As the Ukraine War approaches the grim mark of three years, it appears both ripe for an armistice and impossible to bring to an end. For US President Donald Trump, this war is a senseless waste of people and resources, which should be stopped imme...

Wednesday, 5 Feb 2025


Nina Græger Appointed as New Director of PRIO

PRIO is pleased to announce the appointment of Nina Græger as its next Director, effective 1 July 2025.

Conversations on Ending the War in Ukraine Grow Louder and Emptier

The first week of the “Golden Age” of U.S. policy announced by President Donald Trump registered a stream of messages from the White House on the need to bring the war in Ukraine to an end (White House, January 20). The Kremlin duly responded with...

Security Dialogue


Can Videogames Shape Public Understandings of Weaponized Artificial Intelligence?

Image byLukasfromPixabay Millions of consumers play videogames like Call of Duty and Tom Clancy’s Ghost Recon. The battlefields these series portray increasingly feature drones, tanks, and robots that select and engage targets on their own, thanks...

Tuesday, 28 Jan 2025


PRIO Director's 2025 Nobel Peace Prize List

The Director of PRIO, Henrik Urdal, announced his list today for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, with Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms topping the list.

Policy Brief


Consequences of the Israeli UNRWA Ban

MidEast Policy Brief

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