Espen Geelmuyden Rød – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)

Espen Geelmuyden Rød left PRIO in 2023. The information on this page is kept for historical reasons.

Espen Geelmuyden Rød

Espen Geelmuyden Rød

Topic
Forecasting

Topic
Governance

Topic
Non-Violence

Topic
Technology

Espen Geelmuyden Rød's main research interests are democratization, political violence, and quantitative methods.

Projects

Jul 2020 – Jun 2023
Mobilizing for and against Democracy (MoDe)

Jan 2012 – Dec 2016
Reassessing the Role of Democracy: Political Institutions and Armed Conflict (PIAC)

Jan 2012 – Dec 2014
Mass Mobilization in Autocracies

Jan 2003 – Jan 2013
Conflict Prediction

Latest publications

Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Tim Gåsste & Håvard Hegre (2024)
A review and comparison of conflict early warning systems

Journal article in International Journal of Forecasting

Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Håvard Hegre & Maxine Ria Leis (2023)
Predicting armed conflict using protest data

Journal article in Journal of Peace Research

Håvard Hegre et al. (2022)
Forecasting Fatalities

Espen Geelmuyden Rød et al. (2022)
Et folkelig opprør kan bli Putins skjebne

Popular article in NRK Ytring

Håvard Hegre et al. (2021)
ViEWS 2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System

Journal article in Journal of Peace Research

Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Carl Henrik Knutsen & Håvard Hegre (2019)
The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis

Journal article in Public Choice

Håvard Hegre et al. (2019)
ViEWS: A political Violence Early-Warning System

Journal article in Journal of Peace Research

Tore Wig & Espen Geelmuyden Rød (2016)
Cues to Coup Plotters: Elections as Coup Triggers in Dictatorships

Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution

Espen Geelmuyden Rød & Nils Weidmann (2015)
Empowering activists or autocrats? The Internet in authoritarian regimes

Journal article in Journal of Peace Research

Håvard Hegre, Carl Henrik Knutsen & Espen Geelmuyden Rød (2012)
The Determinants of Democracy: A Sensitivity Analysis

Conference paper

Latest news

Wednesday, 18 Dec 2019
Mobilizing for and against Democracy (MoDe) - Funding for New Project

Why do some pro-democracy movements succeed while others fail?Congratulations to project leader Hanne Fjelde on securing 3-year funding from the FRIPRO programme of the Research Council of Norway for the project Mobilizing for and against Democracy (MoDe).

Latest events

Thursday, 24 Oct 2019 12:00–13:30 UTC+02
Social Media and Protest

8–9 May 2014
Workshop on "Actors, Strategies and Tactics in Contentious Direct Action"

Latest comments

Thursday, 14 Jul 2022
Should Norway Join the EU? Research on Democracy and Peace Suggests So.

Monday, 4 Apr 2022
A Popular Uprising Can Oust Putin

Tuesday, 3 Mar 2015
Paving the Road to Democracy or Unleashing Big Brother? The Internet under Dictatorships

Recorded event
Social Media and Protest

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