Journal article
2026
Journal article in Nature Food
Journal article in Nature Communications
PRIO Paper
Press release
Wednesday, 10 Dec 2025
Ukraine, Palestine/Israel, Sudan, Pakistan and Nigeria are projected to see the highest battle-related death tolls in 2026, according to a world-leading AI-driven conflict forecasting system.
2025
Journal article in International Journal of Forecasting
News
Thursday, 3 Apr 2025
PRIO’s engagement with issues around the use of AI was in full display last week, when PRIO researchers joined key UN discussions in Geneva on AI-enabled weapons and satellite technology, contributing expertise on security, ethics and strategic policy.
Comment
Monday, 1 Dec 2025
Why do some countries succeed in minimising the human toll of floods, while others face repeated catastrophes? The answer lies not only in meteorological or economic conditions, but also in political ones.
Friday, 18 Jul 2025
By offering structured, publicly accessible and regularly updated data on various aspects of UN peace support, the UN Peace and Security Data Hub opens new avenues for empirical research and policy-relevant analysis – not least for forecasting platforms like VIEWS.
Popular article
Popular article in United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Håvard Hegre
Research Professor
Halvard Buhaug
Research Director
Michael Colaresi
External Research Associate
Siri Aas Rustad
Andreas Forø Tollefsen
Senior Researcher
Jonas Vestby
Paola Vesco
Stefan Döring
Associate Researcher
Kristina Petrova
Research Associate
Chandler Williams
Doctoral Researcher
Simon Polichinel von der Maase
Malika Rakhmankulova
Oct 2019 –
VIEWS: Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System
Led by Håvard Hegre
Dec 2022 –
ANTICIPATE: Anticipating the Impact of Armed Conflict on Human Development
May 2023 – Apr 2028
Peace Science Infrastructure
Led by Scott Gates
