Early Warning and Conflict

Please note: This page refers to an event that has already taken place.

Time: Wed 22 (09:00) - Fri 24 (17:00) April 2015
Place: PRIO, Hausmanns gate 7, Oslo

​The conference will bring together practitioners and academics focusing on forecasting and early warning of conflict. The objective of the conference is to familiarize policy-makers and practitioners with current research attempting to forecast conflict, and, more importantly, discuss ways in which this research can be made even more useful for evidence based policy making. The 22nd and 23rd will focus on academic research, while the 24th is more practical and policy oriented. 

The conference will feature a set of academic presentations showcasing current research explaining and predicting, e.g., the onset, termination, and escalation of internal and international armed conflict, political instability (including coups and riots), regime change, non-violent mobilization, piracy, and other relevant forms of political violence. We also have short presentations from the policy-making community and ample time for discussion of how policy-makers can utilize these forecasting models with a special focus on how researchers can contribute to the implementation of these models in (non-)governmental agencies and organizations.

The conference will consist of researchers from the United States and across Europe, and representatives from, among others, the World Bank, various United Nations organization, and policy-makers from the European Union, the United Kingdom, and Norway.
Early Warning Program 22-23 april.pdfEarly Warning Program 24 april.pdf

Håvard Hegre, Dag Hammarskjöld Professor of Peace and Conflict Research at Uppsala University and Research Professor at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)
Håvard Nygård, Senior Researcher, PRIO