Håvard Hegre
Research Professor
Additional positions:
Researcher, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University
Email: Hhegre@prio.org
Mobile phone: 940 33 948
Research Interests
Working experience
Dag Hammarskiöld Professor in Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University (2013–2022)Research Professor, PRIO (2005– )
Associate Editor, Journal of Peace Research (2004–2006, 2010– )
Member of Journal of Peace Research editorial committee (1999– )
Member of editorial board Political Science Research and Methods (2012– )
Member of editorial board International Studies Review (2013– )
Researcher, PRIO (1999–2001, 2003–2005)
Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Oslo (2008–2012)
University fellow, Department of Political Science, University of Oslo (2000–2001, 2003–2004)
Economist, The World Bank (2001–2003)
Research Assistant, PRIO (1989, and 1991–1999)
Managing Editor, Journal of Peace Research (1990–91)
Education
Dr. Philos in Political Science, University of Oslo (November 2004)
Cand.polit. in Political Science, University of Oslo (August 1999)
Cand.mag, University of Oslo in Musicology, History of Ideas, Computer Science, and Statistics (1995).
Latest publications
All publications
The ‘conflict trap’ reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways
Journal Article in Environmental Research Letters
The Results of a Prediction Competition Suggest the Fog of War Can Be Partially Lifted
Popular Article in PRIO Blogs
Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict: Forecasts for April 2022-March 2025
Report - Other
Moving from Reaction to Action: Anticipating Vulnerability Hotspots in the Sahel
Report - Other
Early-warning Systems for Political Violence: How Should We Define our Prediction Targets?
Book Chapter in Taking Stock of Early Warning for Atrocity Prevention. Report from the 2021 Sudikoff Interdisciplinary Seminar on Genocide Prevention
United they stand: Findings from an escalation prediction competition
Journal Article in International Interactions
Forecasting Fatalities
Report - Other
Lessons from an escalation prediction competition
Journal Article in International Interactions
Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946–2020
Conflict Trends
Kan vi forutse krig? Studier gir grunn til optimisme
Popular Article in Aftenposten
Latest news
All news
Vacancy: Research Assistants
Do you want to work in a leading international research institution with high academic standards and an interdisciplinary environment and contribute to a new and original area of research, developing forecasting systems and tool?
Forecasting Conflict Intensity: Call for Abstracts
The Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) team is committed to providing humanitarian groups with the earliest possible warnings to support anticipatory action.
Vacancy: Doctoral Researcher – Forecasting
Do you want to contribute to a new and original area of research, developing forecasting systems and tools? Do you want to work closely with a larger interdisciplinary team of researchers studying the impact of armed conflict on human development?
Vacancy; Senior Developer
PRIO conducts research for a more peaceful world, and is committed to using the best of what technology has to offer to achieve that purpose. Having been at the forefront of data-driven social science research since its foundation in 1959, PRIO seeks to strengthen its data science competence by inviting applications for a Senior Developer. The successful candidate will join the team developing VIEWS – the Violence & Impacts Early Warning System that seeks to develop an early-warning system for the humanitarian impacts of armed conflict.
Please read the full announcement here
Deadline 30 November
Håvard Hegre Awarded ERC Advanced Grant
Håvard Hegre has been awarded a European Research Council Advanced Grant of EUR 2.5 million for the project ANTICIPATE - Anticipating the impact of armed conflict on human development.
ViEWS Receives Prestigious ERC Grant as the Only Project in Norway
The research project ViEWS - A political Violence Early-Warning System has received an ERC Proof of Concept Grant as the only project in Norway in this round of competition.
Peace Science Infrastructure: PRIO to Head Large New Collaboration
Friday, we got to know that a large project has been funded by the Research Council of Norway's INFRASTRUKTUR initiative, that aims to build up relevant, up-to-date infrastructure that is accessible to the research community, to various private and public sector user groups, and to the general public.
The Impact of Armed Conflict on Human Development - New Research Programme
A new research programme titled Societies at risk: The Impact of armed conflict on human development, directed by PRIO Research Professor Håvard Hegre, has received funding. The aim of the programme is to assess the impact of armed conflict on human development in much more detail and more comprehensively than earlier studies by taking a multi-disciplinary approach, bringing together scholars from economics, epidemiology, political science, and conflict research.
Director Henrik Urdal Celebrates World Food Programme Nobel Win
The Norwegian Nobel Committee has awarded the 2020 Nobel Peace Prize to the World Food Programme. PRIO Director Henrik Urdal says the prize is extremely welcome, "also speaking to one of the great challenges of our time: the increasing number of refugees worldwide."
Workshop on Climate Change and Security
On 27-28 September
2018, the Department of Peace and Conflict Research at Uppsala University and PRIO
co-hosted a joint Workshop on Climate Change and Security in Uppsala. The
workshop brought together an international group of twenty scholars and experts
to discuss ongoing and emergent research on a variety of topics related to
climate change and security. The discussions highlighted a variety of topics
including the consequences of resource scarcity, extreme weather events, food
price shocks, land use competition, demographic pressure, and environmental
migration. The program included presentations on 14 projects as well as a public
keynote lecture by Professor W. Neil Adger on sustainable urbanization.
The
workshop was co-organized by Nina von Uexkull and Halvard Buhaug and sponsored
by the PRIO-based research project Climate Variability and
Security Threats (CLIMSEC), funded by the European Research
Council, and the Uppsala-based project on Climate
Change, Food Insecurity and Violent Conflict, funded by the
Swedish Research Council, SIDA, and FORMAS.
Latest events
All events
ANTICIPATE Workshop
Workshop: Counting the Uncounted
Prediction with Uncertainty Workshop
VIEWS Workshop
From Processes to Models
Towards a More Peaceful World?
Early Warning and Conflict
The Future of Warfare
Institutions for Sustainable Peace (ISP) Network Conference
PRIO Annual Peace Address 2012: Peace for Our Time?
Current projects
All projects
ANTICIPATE: Anticipating the Impact of Armed Conflict on Human Development
Enabling Politically Sensitive Climate Change Impact Assessments for the 21st Century (POLIMPACT)
VIEWS: Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System
Conflict Trends
Latest blog posts
Bias in Economic Models Ignores the Impact of War in Poor Nations
The Results of a Prediction Competition Suggest the Fog of War Can Be Partially Lifted
Can We Predict Civil War?
Being Policy Relevant in Peace Research means Forecasting
Peace on Earth? The Future of Internal Armed Conflict
Democracy, Democratization, and Political Violence
Why does Democratization Occur in Waves?
