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    Håvard Hegre: All Publications

    All years: 136 publications

    Håvard Strand & Håvard Hegre (2021)
    Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946–2020

    Conflict Trends
    Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Håvard Hegre & Peder Landsverk (2021)
    Kan vi forutse krig? Studier gir grunn til optimisme

    Popular Article in Aftenposten
    Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Peder Landsverk (2021)
    Can We Predict Armed Conflict? How the First 9 Years of Published Forecasts Stand Up to Reality

    Journal Article in International Studies Quarterly
    Håvard Hegre, Kristina Petrova & Nina von Uexkull (2020)
    Synergies and Trade-Offs in Reaching the Sustainable Development Goals

    Journal Article in Sustainability
    Håvard Hegre, Lisa Hultman & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2020)
    Norge bør fronte fredsbevarende operasjoner

    Popular Article in Dagens Næringsliv
    Håvard Strand, Siri Aas Rustad, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Hegre (2020)
    Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946–2019

    Conflict Trends
    Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Håvard Hegre & Lisa Hultman (2019)
    U.N. peacekeeping really can be effective. Here’s how we tabulated this

    Popular Article in Washington Post
    Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Carl Henrik Knutsen & Håvard Hegre (2019)
    The determinants of democracy: a sensitivity analysis

    Journal Article in Public Choice
    Håvard Hegre, Marie Allansson, Matthias Basedau, Michael Colaresi, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, Frederick Hoyles, Lisa Hultman, Stina Högbladh, Remco Jansen, Naima Mouhleb, Sayyed Auwn Muhammad, Desirée Nilsson, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Gudlaug Olafsdottir, Kristina Petrova, David Randahl, Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Gerald Schneider, Nina von Uexkull & Jonas Vestby (2019)
    ViEWS: A political Violence Early-Warning System

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    Håvard Hegre, Lisa Hultman & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2019)
    Evaluating the conflict-reducing effect of UN peacekeeping operations

    Journal Article in The Journal of Politics
    Håvard Hegre, Lisa Hultman & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2017)
    Peacekeeping Works: Evaluating the effectiveness of UN peacekeeping operations

    Conflict Trends
    Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Julian Wucherpfennig & Nils W. Metternich (2017)
    Introduction: Forecasting in peace research

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Ranveig Flaten Ræder (2017)
    Evaluating the scope and intensity of the conflict trap: A dynamic simulation approach

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    Scott Gates, Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Strand (2016)
    Development Consequences of Armed Conflict

    Book Chapter in Violence, Statistics, and the Politics of Accounting For the Dead
    (2015)
    Forecasting Regime Type, 2014‐2100

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre, Halvard Buhaug, Katherine V. Calvin, Jonas Nordkvelle, Stephanie T. Waldhoff & Elisabeth Gilmore (2016)
    Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways

    Journal Article in Environmental Research Letters
    Baris Ari, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, Håvard Hegre & Tore Wig (2016)
    Democratization and Civil Conflict

    Journal Article in American Political Science Association-Comparative Democratization (APSA-CD)
    Elisabeth Gilmore, Halvard Buhaug & Håvard Hegre (2016)
    Maintaining Security: What Can Be Done to Prevent the Pressures of Climate Change Leading to Conflict?

    Report - Other
    (2016)
    Global, State, and Individual Security in Quantitative Conflict Research

    Book Chapter in Transformations of Security Studies: Dialogues, Diversity and Discipline
    Håvard Hegre & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2015)
    Governance and Conflict Relapse

    Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Hegre (2015)
    Protracted Conflict and Development in the Arab Region

    Report - External Series
    Håvard Hegre, Lisa Hultman & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2015)
    Peacekeeping Works: An Assessment of the Effectiveness of UN Peacekeeping Operations

    Conflict Trends
    Tore Wig, Håvard Hegre & Patrick M. Regan (2015)
    Updated data on institutions and elections 1960–2012: presenting the IAEP dataset version 2.0

    Journal Article in Research & Politics
    Halvard Buhaug, Jonas Nordkvelle, Thomas Bernauer, Tobias Böhmelt, Michael Brzoska, Joshua W. Busby, Antonio Ciccone, Hanne Fjelde, Erik Gartzke, Nils Petter Gleditsch, Jack A. Goldstone, Håvard Hegre, Helge Holtermann, Vally Koubi, Jasmin S. A. Link, Peter Michael Link, Päivi Lujala, John O'Loughlin, Clionadh Raleigh, Jürgen Scheffran, Janpeter Schilling, Todd G. Smith, Ole Magnus Theisen, Richard S. J. Tol, Henrik Urdal & Nina von Uexkull (2014)
    One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

    Journal Article in Climatic Change
    Hanne Fjelde & Håvard Hegre (2014)
    Political Corruption and Institutional Stability

    Journal Article in Studies in Comparative International Development
    Håvard Hegre (2014)
    Democracy and Armed Conflict

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    (2013)
    Poverty and Conflict

    Book Chapter in Elgar Handbook of Civil War and Fragile States
    Håvard Hegre & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2014)
    Peace on Earth? The Future of Internal Armed Conflict

    Conflict Trends
    Scott Gates, Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Strand (2014)
    Development Consequences of Internal Armed Conflict

    Conflict Trends
    (2009)
    Democracy and Civil War

    Book Chapter in Handbook of War Studies III
    (2007)
    Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy

    Report - External Series
    Håvard Hegre, Joakim Karlsen, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Håvard Strand & Henrik Urdal (2013)
    Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010–2050

    Journal Article in International Studies Quarterly
    Scott Gates, Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Strand (2012)
    Development Consequences of Armed Conflict

    Journal Article in World Development
    Håvard Hegre, Carl Henrik Knutsen & Espen Geelmuyden Rød (2012)
    The Determinants of Democracy: A Sensitivity Analysis

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Strand, Håvard Hegre, Scott Gates & Marianne Dahl (2012)
    Why Waves? Global Patterns of Democratization

    Report - External Series
    Håvard Strand, Håvard Hegre, Scott Gates & Marianne Dahl (2012)
    Why Waves? Global Patterns of Democratization, 1816-2008

    Conference Paper
    (2012)
    Governance and Conflict Relapse

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre, Lisa Hultman & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2011)
    Simulating the Effect of Peacekeeping Operations 2010–2035

    Journal Article in Lecture Notes in Computer Science
    (2011)
    The Governance-Conflict Trap in the ESCWA Region

    Report - External Series
    Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Håvard Strand, Scott Gates & Ranveig D. Flaten (2011)
    The Conflict Trap

    Conference Paper
    Youssef Chaitani, Håvard Hegre, Vito Intini, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Maria Ortiz Perez (2011)
    The Governance Deficit and Conflict Relapse in the ESCWA Region: An Overview

    Report - External Series
    Hanne Fjelde & Håvard Hegre (2011)
    Political Corruption and Institutional Stability

    Report - External Series
    Håvard Hegre, John R. Oneal & Bruce M. Russett (2010)
    Trade Does Promote Peace: New Simultaneous Estimates of the Reciprocal Effects of Trade and Conflict

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    (2010)
    Arab Exceptionalism -- How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Trust my Secret Police

    Conference Paper
    Clionadh Raleigh, Andrew Linke, Håvard Hegre & Joakim Karlsen (2010)
    Introducing ACLED: An Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset: Special Data Feature

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    (2010)
    Evaluating the Conflict Reducing Effects of UN Peace-Keeping Operations

    Conference Paper
    Scott Gates, Håvard Hegre, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Strand (2010)
    Consequences of Civil War

    Report - External Series
    Halvard Buhaug, Håvard Hegre & Håvard Strand (2010)
    Sensitivity Analysis of Climate Variability and Civil War

    PRIO Paper
    Clionadh Raleigh & Håvard Hegre (2009)
    Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War: A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis

    Journal Article in Political Geography
    Håvard Hegre (2009)
    Trade Dependence or Size Dependence?: The Gravity Model of Trade and the Liberal Peace

    Journal Article in Conflict Management and Peace Science
    Gudrun Østby, Clionadh Raleigh & Håvard Hegre (2009)
    Poverty and Civil War Events: A Disaggregated Study of Liberia

    Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Håvard Hegre & Hanne Fjelde (2009)
    Democratization and Post-Conflict Transitions

    Book Chapter in Peace and Conflict 2010
    Håvard Hegre & Hanne Fjelde (2009)
    Post-Conflict Democracy and Conflict Recurrence

    Book Chapter in Peace and Conflict 2010
    Halvard Buhaug, Scott Gates, Håvard Hegre, Håvard Strand & Henrik Urdal (2009)
    Nils Petter Gleditsch: A Lifetime Achiever

    Journal Article in European Political Science
    Håvard Hegre (2008)
    Svar til Elster

    Journal Article in Nytt Norsk Tidsskrift
    Håvard Hegre (2008)
    Gravitating toward War: Preponderance May Pacify, but Power Kills

    Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Ibrahim Elbadawi, Håvard Hegre & Gary Milante (2008)
    Introduction: The Aftermath of Civil War

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    Paul Collier, Lisa Chauvet & Håvard Hegre (2008)
    The Security Challenge in Conflict-Prone Countries. A Challenge Paper for the Copenhagen Consensus

    Report - External Series
    (2008)
    The Nature and Causes of Violent Conflicts in Africa

    Report - External Series
    Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2008)
    Paqja dhe demokracia

    Book Chapter in Demokracia – kushtet dhe pasojat
    Håvard Hegre (2008)
    Polarization and Interstate Conflict

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    (2008)
    The Future of Armed Conflict: Predicting the Incidence of Conflict, 2007-2030

    Conference Paper
    Ibrahim Elbadawi & Håvard Hegre (2008)
    Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict

    Journal Article in Defence and Peace Economics
    Håvard Hegre (2008)
    Elster på tomgang

    Journal Article in Nytt Norsk Tidsskrift
    Halvard Buhaug, Scott Gates, Håvard Hegre & Håvard Strand (2007)
    Global Trends in Armed Conflict

    Report - Other
    (2007)
    Economic Deprivation and Civil War Events: A Disaggregated Study of Liberia

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre, Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Strand (2007)
    Democracy and Civil War

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre, Ibrahim Elbadawi & Gary Milante (2007)
    How Civil War Alters the Chances of Democratization and Democratic Stability

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre & Joakim Karlsen (2007)
    Simulating the Evolution of Global Democracy Levels

    Conference Paper
    Clionadh Raleigh, Gudrun Østby & Håvard Hegre (2007)
    Economic Deprivation and Civil War Events: A Disaggregated Study of Liberia

    Conference Paper
    Joakim Karlsen & Håvard Hegre (2007)
    Simulating the Evolution of Global Democracy Levels

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre & Hanne Fjelde (2007)
    Democracy Depraved: Corruption and Institutional Change 1985–2000

    Conference Paper
    Hanne Fjelde & Håvard Hegre (2007)
    Democracy Depraved: Corruption and Institutional Change 1985–2004

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Strand, Mark P. Jones, Håvard Hegre & Scott Gates (2007)
    Democratic Waves? War, New States, and Global Patterns of Democratization, 1800 –2000

    Conference Paper
    Nils Petter Gleditsch, Lene Siljeholm Christiansen & Håvard Hegre (2007)
    Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy

    Conference Paper
    Scott Gates, Håvard Hegre, Mark P. Jones & Håvard Strand (2006)
    Institutional Inconsistency and Political Instability: Polity Duration, 1800-2000

    Journal Article in American Journal of Political Science
    Nicholas Sambanis & Håvard Hegre (2006)
    Sensitivity Analysis of the Empirical Literature on Civil War Onset

    Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Nils Petter Gleditsch, Kathryn Furlong, Håvard Hegre, Bethany Ann Lacina & Taylor Owen (2006)
    Conflicts over Shared Rivers: Resource Wars or Fuzzy Boundaries?

    Journal Article in Political Geography
    Hanne Fjelde & Håvard Hegre (2006)
    Democracy Depraved. Corruption and Institutional Change 1985-2000

    Conference Paper
    Kathryn Furlong, Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2006)
    Geographic Opportunity and Neomalthusian Willingness: Boundaries, Shared Rivers, and Conflict

    Journal Article in International Interactions
    Nils Petter Gleditsch, Håvard Hegre, Kathryn Furlong, Bethany Ann Lacina & Taylor Owen (2006)
    Conflict over Shared Rivers: Resource Scarcity or Fuzzy Boundaries

    Journal Article in Political Geography
    Håvard Hegre (2005)
    Development and the Liberal Peace

    Journal Article in Nordic Journal of Political Economy
    Håvard Hegre (2005)
    Identifying How Trade Matters in Empirical Studies of Interstate Conflict

    Journal Article in Conflict Management and Peace Science
    Håvard Hegre (2005)
    Identifying How Trade Matters. A Rejoinder

    Journal Article in Conflict Management and Peace Science
    Clionadh Raleigh & Håvard Hegre (2005)
    Introducing ACLED: An Armed Conflict Location and Events Dataset

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre, Tanja Ellingsen, Scott Gates & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2005)
    Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change and Civil War, 1816-1992

    Book Chapter in War: SAGE Library of International Relations
    Håvard Hegre (2005)
    Polarization and Interstate Conflict

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre (2005)
    Gravitating Toward War. The Gravity Model of Trade and the Liberal Peace

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre, Nils Petter Gleditsch, Scott Gates & Tanja Ellingsen (2005)
    Towards a Democratic Civil Peace

    Book Chapter in War. Library of International Relations
    Håvard Hegre & Clionadh Raleigh (2005)
    Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War. A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis

    Conference Paper
    Clionadh Raleigh & Håvard Hegre (2005)
    Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War: A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre (2004)
    De langvarige borgerkrigene

    Popular Article in Dagbladet
    Håvard Hegre (2004)
    Kampen mot borgerkriger

    Popular Article in Dagbladet
    Håvard Hegre (2004)
    Size Asymmetry, Trade, and Militarized Conflict

    Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Nils Petter Gleditsch, Lene Siljeholm Christiansen & Håvard Hegre (2004)
    Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre (2004)
    The Limits of the Liberal Peace

    PhD Thesis
    Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2004)
    En globalisert verden – økt kaos eller varig fred?

    Book Chapter in Åpen Verden – Et forsvar for globaliseringen
    Håvard Hegre (2004)
    The Duration and Termination of Civil War

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2004)
    En globalisert verden – økt kaos eller varig fred?

    Book Chapter in Åpen verden. Et forsvar for globaliseringen
    Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2004)
    Fred og demokrati

    Book Chapter in Demokrati – vilkår og virkninger
    Nils Petter Gleditsch, Håvard Hegre & Scott Gates (2004)
    Towards a Global Civil Peace

    Report - Other
    Håvard Hegre (2004)
    The Limits of the Liberal Peace

    PhD Thesis
    Håvard Hegre (2004)
    The Limits of the Liberal Peace

    PhD Thesis
    Nicholas Sambanis & Håvard Hegre (2004)
    Sensitivity Analysis of the Empirical Literature on Civil War Onset

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre & Ibrahim Elbadawi (2004)
    Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Armed Conflict

    Conference Paper
    Lene Siljeholm Christiansen, Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2004)
    Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democratic

    Conference Paper
    Kaare Strøm & Håvard Hegre (2004)
    Conceptions of Democracy in the Study of Civil Conflict

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre, Nils Petter Gleditsch & Lene Siljeholm Christiansen (2004)
    Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre (2004)
    Refugee Flows and the Spread of Civil War

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre, Lene Siljeholm Christiansen & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2004)
    Democratic Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy

    Conference Paper
    Nicholas Sambanis, Marta Reynal-Querol, Lani Elliott, Anke Hoeffler, Paul Collier & Håvard Hegre (2003)
    Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy

    Monograph
    Paul Collier, Lani Elliott, Håvard Hegre, Anke Hoeffler, Marta Reynal-Querol & Nicholas Sambanis (2003)
    Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy

    Report - Other
    Håvard Hegre (2003)
    Development and the Liberal Peace: What Does It Take to Be a Trading State?

    Book Chapter in Globalization and Conflict
    Håvard Hegre (2003)
    Disentangling Democracy, Development as Determinants of Armed Conflict

    Conference Paper
    Ranveig Gissinger, Håvard Hegre & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2003)
    Globalization and Internal Conflict

    Book Chapter in Globalization and Conflict
    Håvard Hegre & Han Dorussen (2003)
    Extending the Multicountry Model of Trade and Conflict

    Book Chapter in Globalization and Conflict
    Håvard Hegre, Michael Mousseau & John R. Oneal (2003)
    How the Wealth of Nations Conditions the Liberal Peace

    Journal Article in European Journal of International Relations
    Håvard Hegre & Todd Sandler (2002)
    Economic Analysis of Civil Wars [Introduction to special issue]

    Journal Article in Defence and Peace Economics
    Håvard Hegre (2002)
    Trade Decreases Conflict More in Multi-Actor Systems: A Comment on Dorussen

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    Håvard Hegre (2001)
    Trade, Size Asymmetry, and Militarized Conflict

    Conference Paper
    Scott Gates, Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2001)
    Democracy and Civil Conflict After the Cold War

    Book Chapter in Perspectives on Democratic Consolidation in Central and Eastern Europe
    Håvard Strand, Håvard Hegre, Scott Gates & Mark P. Jones (2001)
    On the Shoulders of Giants: A Multi-Dimensional Representation of Political Systems (MIRPS)

    Conference Paper
    Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2001)
    Political Institutions, Globalization, and Conflict

    Conference Paper
    Håvard Hegre (2001)
    Trade as a War Deterrent

    Conference Paper
    Nils Petter Gleditsch, Håvard Hegre, Tanja Ellingsen & Scott Gates (2001)
    Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change and Civil War 1816–1992

    Journal Article in American Political Science Review
    Hans Petter Wollebæk Toset, Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (2000)
    Shared Rivers and Interstate Conflict

    Journal Article in Political Geography
    Håvard Hegre (2000)
    Development and the Liberal Peace. What Does It Take to be a Trading State?

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    Håvard Hegre (1999)
    The Limits of the Liberal Peace

    Master Thesis
    Håvard Hegre (1999)
    The Limits of the Liberal Peace

    PhD Thesis
    Scott Gates & Håvard Hegre (1999)
    Evolution in Democracy-War Dynamics

    Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Scott Gates, Nils Petter Gleditsch, Håvard Hegre & Ranveig Gissinger (1998)
    Timing the Changes in Political Structures. A New Polity Database

    Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Arvid Raknerud & Håvard Hegre (1997)
    The Hazard of War. Reassessing the Evidence of the Democratic Peace

    Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
    Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (1997)
    Peace and Democracy: Three Levels of Analysis

    Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Nils Petter Gleditsch & Håvard Hegre (1995)
    Nasjonsdata: En Lærepakke

    Monograph
    Nils Petter Gleditsch, Terje Vilno Larsen & Håvard Hegre (1994)
    Citations to Articles in JPR and by Johan Galtung

    Monograph
    Håvard Hegre (1994)
    Journal. En presentasjon av et styringsverktøy

    Book Chapter in Det vitenskapelige tidsskrift. Rapport fra en konferanse for vitenskapelige tidsskrifter. TemaNord 1994:574

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