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PRIO Paper


Conflict Trends: A Global Overview, 1946–2024

PRIO Paper

Russia’s influence in Middle East takes hit from Israeli strikes

Israel’s decision to launch a series of missile and bomb strikes on Iran on June 13 was a shocking surprise for Moscow, where the working assumption had been centered on the presumably protracted U.S.-Iranian talks on the limitations of the nuclea...

Monday, 9 Jun 2025


New data shows conflict at historic high as U.S. signals retreat from world stage

The world is experiencing a surge in violence not seen since the post-World War II era. 2024 marked a grim new record: the highest number of state-based armed conflicts in over seven decades.

Popular Article


Russia's maximalist demands undermine peace talks despite mounting domestic strains

Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor

Russia’s maximalist demands undermine peace talks despite mounting domestic strains

The key goal of the most recent round of talks between Russia and Ukraine, held on Monday, June 2, in Istanbul, is supposed to be an exchange of memoranda on the conditions for ending the war.

Putin holds firm to war course, conjuring mirage of victory

The fever of diplomatic battles around Russia’s war against Ukraine in the first three weeks of May has broken, leaving few meaningful results.

Hunger, Displacement, and Occupation in Gaza

Outside Gaza, aid convoys are lined up. Food. Water. Medicine. The trucks are not allowed into Gaza because Israel is using humanitarian aid as a political tool to force Hamas into submission.

Why Would Humans Do Anything Boring, Difficult or Dangerous in Star Wars? Science Fiction’s Reluctance to Embrace Its Own Technology.

This blog post contains spoilers for the first series in Andor, and other science fiction shows.

Putin Uses Victory Day Spectacle to Mask War Fatigue and Court Partners

The propaganda machine was switched to the maximum volume, turning the sombre memories of tragic battles and painful sacrifices into a celebration of militarism.

Russia May be Switching Tactics From Sabotage of Peace Deal to Bargaining

On April 28, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a three-day ceasefire in his war against Ukraine in the lead-up to the commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the Second World War (President of Russia, April 28). The ceasefire is due to b...

Global Trade War Does Not Diminish Pressure on Russia to End Its War

Russia is not directly affected by the new U.S. trade tariffs. The effects on its economy are profound, while the political effects are open to interpretation.

Decision Point for Putin is Set Too Close for His Comfort

Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Steven Witkoff, U.S. President Donald Trump’s key negotiator, last Friday, in St. Petersburg, likely to buy himself more time before making any concessions. On Sunday, Russian missiles struck the Ukrainian...

Putin’s Warpath Goes Through Arctic

Russia’s war against Ukraine is stuck in a rigid deadlock. The prospect of agreeing on a ceasefire, which had appeared within reach a couple of weeks ago, has, however, become distant and blurred.

Africa in the Global Disorder of Trumpism

Africa is not a homogeneous entity. Unlike the United States or China, it does not have a unified political power capable of defending a common interest.

How Should Europe Respond to the Demonstrations in Turkey?

All across Turkey, a battle is being waged over the country’s future. For more than a decade, the country’s democratic institutions have steadily deteriorated and now thousands have taken to the streets in an attempt to save the remains of its dem...

Russia Refuses to Make Meaningful Step on Road to Peace

U.S., European, and Ukrainian peace-making policies are now aligned at a possible breakthrough point, as differences in means and methods transmute into complementarities. This fast evolution starkly contrasts with the immobility of Russia’s posit...

Moscow Changes War Rhetoric but Stays War Course

The whirlwind of U.S.-initiated diplomatic activity in the last two weeks has compelled the Kremlin to alter the tone of its messaging on confrontation with the West and even the substance of its far-reaching propaganda campaign. The cliché of “An...

Moscow Seeks to Regain Initiative in the Game of Peace Talks

Jubilation in Moscow after the phone conversation between Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump on February 12 has given way to contemplations of the consequences and even to confusion caused by the barrage of statements...

Wednesday, 12 Feb 2025


JPR Journal Article of the Year 2024 Awarded to Melanie Sauter

Melanie Sauter has been awarded the Nils Petter Gleditsch Article of the Year Award for her journal article entitled ‘Politicized health emergencies and violent resistance against healthcare responders.’

Trump’s Logic of Deal-Making Versus Putin’s Logic of War-Making

As the Ukraine War approaches the grim mark of three years, it appears both ripe for an armistice and impossible to bring to an end. For US President Donald Trump, this war is a senseless waste of people and resources, which should be stopped imme...

Trump Vol. 2 Will Impact Global Development

The United States is by far the world’s largest provider of foreign aid, but it is completely unclear whether and how this will continue. Trump speaks of quickly achieving peace but at the same time he threatens neighboring countries. One thing is...

Conversations on Ending the War in Ukraine Grow Louder and Emptier

The first week of the “Golden Age” of U.S. policy announced by President Donald Trump registered a stream of messages from the White House on the need to bring the war in Ukraine to an end (White House, January 20). The Kremlin duly responded with...

Russian Counter-Offensive in the International Arena Has Lost Momentum

One of the key goals for 2024 that President Vladimir Putin had apparently set at the end of the second year of the Ukraine war was to execute a sustained foreign policy counter-offensive to reduce Russia’s international isolation to irrelevance. ...

Tuesday, 10 Dec 2024


PRIO in the Republic of Korea for its Action with Women and Peace Conference

On December 10th, PRIO Research Director Louise Olsson and GPS Coordinator Stine A. Bosheim contributed to the Action with Women and Peace Conference (AWP), in Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Report – External Series


Navigating US-China Technology Competition: An Indonesia Perspective

Research Report

PRIO Report


The impact of the Cyprus problem on the protection of the environment

PRIO Cyprus Centre Report

Escalation Management: Putin-style, Ukraine-challenged, and NATO-pursued

Russian missile strike on the sprawling industrial complex in Dnipro on November 21 produced far more strategic resonance than material damage – and has reopened hard questions about the constant mutation of the long Russia-Ukraine war and the met...

Putin’s ‘Three Escalations’ Affect Prospect of Peace in Ukraine

Russia’s strategy in executing its aggressive war against Ukraine, passing the 1,000-day mark last week, puts the country’s economy, society, and armed forces under enormous pressure that Moscow’s militaristic propaganda cannot quite cover. As Rus...

Protection of Civilians in Crisis: Geneva Conventions at 75

With the devastating news from Ukraine, Gaza and Sudan among other wars, we witness a crisis of the international regime for protecting civilians in armed conflict. However, this is not a total collapse but a return to the troubling world that the...

Making Women Combatants Visible: Steps Towards Gender-Responsive Disarmament, Demobilization and Reintegration

In October the Security Council met for its annual Women, Peace, and Security (WPS) Open Debate under the theme of “Women Building Peace in a Changing Environment.” Despite the WPS agenda’s goals for including women in all aspects of security and ...

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