One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Buhaug, Halvard; Jonas Nordkvelle; Thomas Bernauer; Tobias Böhmelt; Michael Brzoska; Joshua W. Busby; Antonio Ciccone; Hanne Fjelde; Erik Gartzke; Nils Petter Gleditsch; Jack A. Goldstone; Håvard Hegre; Helge Holtermann; Vally Koubi; Jasmin S. A. Link; Peter Michael Link; Päivi Lujala; John O'Loughlin; Clionadh Raleigh; Jürgen Scheffran; Janpeter Schilling; Todd G. Smith; Ole Magnus Theisen; Richard S. J. Tol; Henrik Urdal & Nina von Uexküll (2014) One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict, Climatic Change 127(3): 391–397.

​​A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article's underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggest that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1

Authors

Halvard Buhaug

Halvard Buhaug

Research Professor at PRIO; Professor of Political Science, NTNU

Jonas Nordkvelle

Jonas Nordkvelle

Doctoral Researcher

Hanne Fjelde

Hanne Fjelde

Senior Researcher, PRIO; Assistant Professor, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University

Nils Petter Gleditsch

Nils Petter Gleditsch

Research Professor; Professor Emeritus of Political Science, NTNU

Håvard Hegre

Håvard Hegre

Research Professor

Helge Holtermann

Helge Holtermann

Senior Researcher and Managing Editor, Journal of Peace Research

Päivi Lujala

Päivi Lujala

Post-doctoral Fellow in Economics at NTNU

Clionadh Raleigh

Clionadh Raleigh

Professor of Human Geography, University of Sussex

Ole Magnus Theisen

Ole Magnus Theisen

Assistant Professor in Political Science at NTNU

Henrik Urdal

Henrik Urdal

Research Professor; Editor, Journal of Peace Research

Nina von Uexkull

Nina von Uexkull

Associate Senior Researcher