Peace and good institutions save lives from floods
Why do some countries succeed in minimising the human toll of floods, while others face repeated catastrophes? The answer lies not only in meteorological or economic conditions, but also in political ones.
Flaws in Putin’s art of no-deal for peace become apparent
In November, a 28-point U.S.–Russia draft peace proposal was leaked that heavily favored Moscow, sparking backlash from Ukraine and the European Union.
Deciphering the militarizing effect of military practices of threat forecasting: the French Red Team Project and its relevance for contemporary civ...
Imagine being a part of a government-backed initiative that recruits artists and scientists to envision future threat scenarios. Isn’t that a promising way to overcome organizational biases and group-thinking? In my recent article published in Sec...
Aeropeace in airspace: from defensive measures to positive peace
Peace can no longer be imagined without a peaceful sky – without ‘Aeropeace’ – but what does that entail?
Popular Article
The surge in nuclear posturing does real damage
Popular article in Global Panorama
Talks on peace deal for war against Ukraine can still rebound
The failed Russian plan to organize a meeting between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump in Budapest was so significant that any prospect of bringing the war against Ukraine to an end any time soon appeared to disappear.
Nuclear means come to front of Putin’s long-war strategy
Moscow commentators were taken aback over U.S. President Donald Trump’s message on resuming nuclear testing “immediately” and also “on an equal basis” with Russia and China.
Putin returns to brinksmanship after new U.S. sanctions
With hopes for a personal rapport with Trump fading, Putin has returned to nuclear brinkmanship.
Tuesday, 14 Oct 2025
Online speech drives real-world violence, new PRIO study finds
A new study from the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) represents one of the first large-scale investigations into how online discourse can both increase and reduce real-world violence.
Russia ignores global peace developments to focus on Putin’s war
Extraordinary international attention was focused on the Nobel Peace Prize announcement on October 10. Anxiety was palpable in Moscow, where official skepticism had dominated since the award of the 2022 prize to the Memorial Society.
Putin attempts to shift nuclear brinkmanship
Russian President Vladimir Putin is shifting from overt nuclear brinkmanship to using Russia’s nuclear energy program as a “peaceful” tool of influence.
Moscow downplays drone incursion on Poland
The incursion of at least 19 Russian drones into Polish airspace on September 9–10 produced plenty of shock but hardly any awe.
Putin raises the stakes of rejecting peace deal
Three years and seven months after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, all international initiatives to bring the war to an end have seemingly discontinued.
Conference Paper
From Sirens to Smartphones: Expanding Emergency Communication in Norway: A case study of the implementation of Emergency Alert on mobile in Norway
Conference paper
Multipolarity matures, but not according to Putin’s plan
The intensity of turbulence on the global arena has reached such high levels that the 2025 BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro on 6–7 July attracted far less attention than expected.
The reintegration of 5 million veterans may be Ukraine’s next major battle: Results from a recent survey in Ukraine
While discussions of a ceasefire remain clouded by diplomatic uncertainty, Ukrainian soldiers continue to fight on the frontlines. Once the fighting on the ground ends, these women and men will likely face their next battle in reintegrating into c...
Journal Article
Urbanisation, democracy, and political regime transformations
Journal article in Political Geography
Wednesday, 25 Jun 2025
Øyvind Østerud (1944–2025) in Memoriam
We are saddened by the passing of Øyvind Østerud (1944–2025), a towering figure in Norwegian political science.
The asylum paradox – yes. But what now?
Stating that the asylum system in Europe is dysfunctional, is hardly a novelty. It’s even been described as contributing to what has been referred to as an “asylum paradox.”
Russian retribution for daring Ukrainian strike is postponed. Perhaps indefinitely
The scale and character of Russian retaliation in the aftermath of the daring Ukrainian attack on four Russian aviation bases on June 1 have yet to be revealed.
Putin holds firm to war course, conjuring mirage of victory
The fever of diplomatic battles around Russia’s war against Ukraine in the first three weeks of May has broken, leaving few meaningful results.
Popular Article
Putin holds firm to war course, conjuring mirage of victory
Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor
Crisis and deglobalization: Contributions of research and the role of researchers
Humanitarian aid, development cooperation, migration governance and multilateralism have long been declared to be ‘in crisis’, but are currently experiencing unprecedented systemic shocks.
Journal Article
Online speech and communal conflict: Evidence from India
Journal article in PNAS Nexus
Putin Uses Victory Day Spectacle to Mask War Fatigue and Court Partners
The propaganda machine was switched to the maximum volume, turning the sombre memories of tragic battles and painful sacrifices into a celebration of militarism.
Friday, 9 May 2025
In Times of Rising Conflict, UN Seminar Showcases Inclusive Approaches to Peace Mediation
Mediators, peacebuilders and policymakers gathered in Porvoo, Finland for the 14th UN High-Level Seminar on Gender and Inclusive Mediation Strategies.
The Hype, Delusions and Risks of the Arctic Geopolitics
The surge of political attention to the Arctic may appear counter-intuitive to the experts overtaxed with assessing the consequences of the global trade war, perplexed by the deadlock of the Ukraine War, and frustrated by the deepening indifferenc...
Monday, 10 Mar 2025
Norwegian research foundations develop new technology for studying war crimes against Ukraine
PRIO and NORSAR, both Norway-based research foundations, today announced a joint effort to use cutting-edge sensor technology for uncovering and analysing war crimes in Ukraine.
American Democracy is in Danger, but Not Dead
Trump and his supporters are undermining American democracy, posing a real threat of democratic breakdown. The consequences would be dramatic, extending far beyond the United States. However, there is still a good chance that democracy, in the end...
Wednesday, 26 Feb 2025
New Results from Prediction Challenge That Seeks to Improve Conflict Forecasting
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge invites researchers to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution, fully accounting for uncertainty to improve decision-making and crisis preparedness.