Nonviolent and violent protest, security force defection, conflict trends, ceasefires, terrorism and violent extremism, quantitative methods and spatial data.
Tora Sagård left PRIO in 2021. The information on this page is kept for historical reasons.
Tora Sagård
Interests and experience
I graduated with a MA in political science from the University of Oslo (UiO) in 2019. My thesis, which focused on ceasefires in civil war, won me an award for a high-quality thesis from the Faculty of Social Sciences at UiO. At PRIO I have worked on several projects, including Conflict Trends, financed by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. I have published policy briefs, PRIO papers, and popular articles. In addition, I authored the UNDP-PRIO report "When is Conventional Wisdom Wise? Testing the Assumptions Behind Preventing Violent Extremism" which was launched at OSLO 3, in June 2021 (https://oslo3.org/). I also have extensive data collection experience and have coordinated several data collection projects.
Education:
2017-2019: MA, Political science, University of Oslo and PRIO
2014-2017: BA, Political science and Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology and University of Cape Town
Languages spoken:
Norwegian, English
Projects
Jun 2018 –
Ceasefires
Ceasefires
Aug 2017 –
Monitoring Attitudes, Perceptions and Support (MAPS)
Monitoring Attitudes, Perceptions and Support (MAPS)
Jul 2013 –
Conflict Trends
Conflict Trends
Oct 2020 – Dec 2023
Conflict Cartographer: Conflict expert prediction in Africa
Conflict Cartographer: Conflict expert prediction in Africa
Jul 2020 – Jun 2023
Mobilizing for and against Democracy (MoDe)
Mobilizing for and against Democracy (MoDe)
Oct 2018 – Dec 2021
Street-Level Autocrats: Individual Decisions with Collective Consequences
Street-Level Autocrats: Individual Decisions with Collective Consequences
Jul 2018 – Jun 2023
Securing the Victory? Understanding Dynamics of Short-run and Long-term Success in Popular Uprisings and Democratization
Securing the Victory? Understanding Dynamics of Short-run and Long-term Success in Popular Uprisings and Democratization
Latest publications
Govinda Clayton et al. (2022)
Introducing the ETH/PRIO Civil Conflict Ceasefire Dataset
Introducing the ETH/PRIO Civil Conflict Ceasefire Dataset
Journal article in Journal Conflict Resolution
Tora Sagård (2021)
When is Conventional Wisdom Wise? Testing the Assumptions behind Preventing Violent Extremism
When is Conventional Wisdom Wise? Testing the Assumptions behind Preventing Violent Extremism
Tora Sagård (2021)
Hva er Internasjonal Politikk
Hva er Internasjonal Politikk
Book review in Internasjonal Politikk
Tora Sagård (2021)
Who Is Likely to Support Terrorism? Testing the Assumptions behind Preventing Violent Extremism (PVE)
Who Is Likely to Support Terrorism? Testing the Assumptions behind Preventing Violent Extremism (PVE)
Conflict Trends
Marianne Dahl et al. (2019)
Twitterrevolusjonens vekst og fall
Twitterrevolusjonens vekst og fall
Popular article in Aftenposten
Tora Sagård (2019)
Causes of Ceasefire Failure: A survival analysis, 1989-2017
Causes of Ceasefire Failure: A survival analysis, 1989-2017
Master thesis
Reidun Ryland et al. (2018)
The Effects of Ceasefires in Philippine Peace Processes
The Effects of Ceasefires in Philippine Peace Processes
PRIO Paper
Reidun Ryland et al. (2018)
The Effects of Ceasefires in Colombian Peace Processes
The Effects of Ceasefires in Colombian Peace Processes
Conflict Trends
Latest news
Friday, 4 Jun 2021
Conflict Cartographer Project Opens Again for Conflict Predictions
Conflict Cartographer Project Opens Again for Conflict Predictions
Round three of conflict prediction in the Conflict Cartographer project is now open.
Thursday, 4 Mar 2021
Conflict Cartographer Project Opens for Conflict Predictions
Conflict Cartographer Project Opens for Conflict Predictions
Round two of conflict prediction in the Conflict Cartographer project is now open.
Monday, 9 Mar 2020
PRIO Has the Leading Experts on Protests
PRIO Has the Leading Experts on Protests
How does a country’s security apparatus react to a protest movement?And what happens in the aftermath of successful protests?PRIO has long been at the forefront of research on protest movements.
Thursday, 21 Nov 2019
Tora Sagård Wins UiO "Våg å vite"-prisen
Tora Sagård Wins UiO "Våg å vite"-prisen
PRIO congratulates Tora Sagård on being one of the winners of this year's Våg å vite ("Dare to know") prize, which is given to master's theses that "combine high academic quality with the courage to challenge established truths in society.
Latest blog posts
Sunday, 5 Jul 2020
Oppression and Regime Survival: Will Trump’s reactions to the Black Lives Matter movement bring about his exit?
Oppression and Regime Survival: Will Trump’s reactions to the Black Lives Matter movement bring about his exit?
Friday, 17 Apr 2020
Ceasefires in the Time of COVID-19
Ceasefires in the Time of COVID-19
Monday, 9 Mar 2020
PRIO Has the Leading Experts on Protests
PRIO Has the Leading Experts on Protests
Tuesday, 7 Jan 2020
The Rise and Fall of the Twitter Revolution
The Rise and Fall of the Twitter Revolution
