Apr 2017 – May 2021
A recent wave of societal upheavals across the Middle East and beyond has accentuated concerns that adverse climatic conditions increase conflict risk. A simple and sweeping climate-conflict effect is not likely but climate variability and extremes can have powerful indirect and conditional effects on political violence. The most plausible mechanism linking these phenomena is adverse agricultural production changes. Yet, little is known about the conditions under which this causal pathway is most likely to materialize.
The CROP project addresses this research lacuna head-on. It will be guided by following research challenges:
The Journal of Peace
Research has just published a new special issue on ‘Security implications
of climate change’ (January 2021), guest edited by Nina von Uexkull and Halvard
Buhaug. The special issue contains 12 original research articles and viewpoint
essays, supplemented by an introductory
article by the guest editors that presents a review the state of the art.
This is the second time JPR dedicates a special issue to climate change
and conflict; the first
time was in 2012, edited by Nils Petter Gleditsch. The new issue represents
the most up-to-date collection of studies on the subject. Several articles,
including the introduction, are available as open access.
Read the special issue here.
Jonas Vestby has defended his thesis today, 9 March 2018: 'Climate, development, and conflict: Learning from the past and mapping uncertainties of the future' at the Institute of Political Science at the University of Oslo.
Explaining Ethnic Conflict: Micro-, Meso- and Macro-Approaches
The project will focus on the causal connection between adverse environmental change and discrete social upheavals, with examples including the ongoing civil war in Syria and the early Arab Spring uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt.
Journal Article in Journal of Politics
Journal Article in World Development
Journal Article in Annual Review of Environment and Resources
Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
Popular Article in Morgenbladet
Journal Article in Global Environmental Change
Popular Article in New Security Beat
Popular Article in Political Violence at a Glance
Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
Journal Article in Sustainability
Popular Article in Washington Post
Journal Article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
Journal Article in World Development
Journal Article in Global Environmental Politics
PhD Thesis
Report - External Series
Book Chapter in Peace and Conflict 2017
Popular Article in PRIO Climate & Conflict Blog
Popular Article in The Norwegian Atlantic Committee
Popular Article in PRIO Climate & Conflict Blog
Popular Article in Bistandsaktuelt
Popular Article in PRIO Climate & Conflict Blog