Publications 2020

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Aggestam, Karin & Jacqui True (2020) Gendering Foreign Policy: A Comparative Framework for Analysis, Foreign Policy Analysis 16(2): 143–162.
Bergius, Mikael; Tor Arve Benjaminsen; Faustin P. Maganga & Halvard Buhaug (2020) Green economy, degradation narratives, and land-use conflicts in Tanzania, World Development 129: 104850–.
Biong Deng Kuol, Luka (2020) When Ethnic Diversity Becomes a Curse in Africa: The Tale of Two Sudans, Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations 21(1): 15–35.
Brekke, Jan Paul; Simon Roland Birkvad & Marta Bivand Erdal (2020) Losing the Right to Stay: Revocation of Refugee Permits in Norway, Journal of Refugee Studies. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jrs/feaa006.
Buhaug, Halvard; Mihai Croicu; Hanne Fjelde & Nina von Uexkull (2020) A conditional model of local income shock and civil conflict, Journal of Politics. DOI: 10.1086/709671.
Chi, Primus Che; Patience Bulage & Gudrun Østby (2020) Equity in aid allocation and distribution: A qualitative study of key stakeholders in Northern Uganda, PLoS ONE 14(12).
Ezzati, Rojan Tordhol (2020) Value-talk after terrorism: Articulating a united 'we' and a divided 'us', Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies. DOI: 10.1080/1369183X.2020.1752637.
Fangen, Katrine & Maria Reite Nilsen (2020) Variations within the Norwegian far right: from neo-Nazism to anti-Islamism, Journal of Political Ideologies. DOI: 10.1080/13569317.2020.1796347: 1–20.
Gleditsch, Nils Petter (2020) Toward a Social-Democratic Peace?, Ethics & International Affairs 34(1): 67–75.
Grabska, Katarzyna (2020) Wasting time’: migratory trajectories of adolescence among Eritrean refugee girls in Khartoum”, Critical African Studies.
Horst, Cindy & Tore Vincents Olsen (2020) Transnational citizens, cosmopolitan outlooks? Migration as a route to cosmopolitanism, Nordic Journal of Migration Research 10(2): 1–16.
Jensehaugen, Jørgen (2020) Terra morata: the West Bank in Menachem Begin’s worldview, Contemporary Levant 5(1): 54–63.
Lewicki, Aleksandra & Yasemin Shooman (2020) Building a New Nation: Anti-Muslim Racism in Post-Unification Germany, Journal of Contemporary European Studies 28(1): 30–42.
Mach, Katharine J.; W. Neil Adger; Halvard Buhaug; Marshall Burke; James Fearon; Christopher B. Field; Cullen Hendrix; Caroline M. Kraan; Jeac-Francois Maystadt; John O'Loughlin; Philip Roessler; Jürgen Scheffran; Kenneth Schultz & Nina von Uexkull (2020) Directions for Research on Climate and Conflict, Earth's Future. DOI: 10.1029/2020EF001532.
Montclos, Marc-Antoine Pérouse de (2020) Aide internationale et lutte contre le terrorisme: des défis renouvelés [International aid and the fight against terrorism: renewed challenges], Revue internationale des études du développement. DOI: Forthcoming.
Nilsen, Marte (2020) Perceptions of Rights and the Politics of Humanitarian Aid in Myanmar, The European Journal of Development Research 32(2): 338–358.
Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv (2020) Timing Matters: The Impact of Regularity of Election Cycles on Autocratic Stability, Electoral Studies 66.
Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; Nils Lid Hjort & Celine Marie Løken Cunen (2020) Statistical sightings of better angels: Analysing the distribution of battle-deaths in interstate conflict over time, Journal of Peace Research 57(2): 221–234.
Rudolfsen, Ida (2020) Food insecurity and domestic instability: A review of the literature, Terrorism and Political Violence 32(5): 921–948.
Rudolfsen, Ida (2020) Food price increase and urban unrest: The role of societal organizations, Journal of Peace Research. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0022343319899705.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Elisabeth Lio Rosvold & Halvard Buhaug (2020) Development Aid, Drought, and Coping Capacity, Journal of Development Studies 56(8): 1578–1593.
Skjelsbæk, Inger & Torunn L. Tryggestad (2020) Pro-gender Norms in Norwegian Peace Engagement: Balancing Experiences, Values, and Interests, Foreign Policy Analysis. DOI: 10.1093/fpa/orz028.
Stapnes, Trude; Erik Carlquist & Cindy Horst (2020) Responsibility to Protest: An Interpretative Phenomenological Analysis of Motives for Protest Participation in Myanmar, Peace and Conflict: Journal of Peace Psychology. DOI: 10.1037/pac0000473.
Theisen, Ole Magnus; Håvard Strand & Gudrun Østby (2020) Ethno-political favoritism in maternal health care service delivery: Micro-level evidence from sub-Saharan Africa, 1981–2014, International Area Studies Review 23(1): 3–27.
True, Jacqui & Aida A. Hozić (2020) Don’t mention the war! International Financial Institutions and the gendered circuits of violence in post-conflict, Review of International Political Economy. DOI: 10.1080/09692290.2020.1732443.
True, Jacqui (2020) Continuums of Violence and Peace: A Feminist Perspective, Ethics & International Affairs 34(1): 85–95.
von Uexkull, Nina; Marco d'Errico & Julius Jackson (2020) Drought, Resilience, and Support for Violence: Household Survey Evidence from DR Congo, Journal of Conflict Resolution. DOI: 10.1177/0022002720923400.

Monograph

Bryant, Rebecca & Mete Hatay (2020) Sovereignty Suspended: Building the So-Called State. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press. The Ethnography of Political Violence.
Hatay, Mete (2020) Eşikteki Meseleler [The Problems at the Threshold]. Nicosia: Söylem Yayınları. 5.
Montclos, Marc-Antoine Pérouse de (2020) Une guerre perdue: la France au Sahel [A Lost War: France in the Sahel]. Paris: JC Lattès.

Book Chapter

Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Bad judgement and a chain of blunders, in Suzanne Maloney, ed., The Iranian Revolution at Forty. Washington DC: Brookings Institution Press (192–195).
Deglow, Annekatrin & Hanne Fjelde (2020) The Quality of Government and Civil Conflict, in Oxford University Press Handbook on the Quality of Government. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Dupuy, Kendra (2020) Backlash and Resistance to NGOs Globally, in The Nonprofit Sector: a Research Handbook, Third Edition. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Erdal, Marta Bivand (2020) Migration, Forced, in International Encyclopedia of Human Geography. Amsterdam: Elsevier (105–110).
Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede (2020) Advances in Data on Conflict and Dissent, in Deutschmann, Emanuel; Jan Lorenz; Luis G. Nardin; Davide Natalini; & Adalbert F.X. Wilhelm, eds, Computational Conflict Research. New York: Springer.
Gleditsch, Nils Petter (2020) Lewis Fry Richardson – A Pioneer Not Forgotten, in Nils Petter Gleditsch, ed., Lewis Fry Richardson: His Intellectual Legacy and Influence in the Social Sciences. Heidelberg: Springer (1–12).
Gleditsch, Nils Petter (2020) Richardson’s Life and Work, in Nils Petter Gleditsch, ed., Lewis Fry Richardson: His Intellectual Legacy and Influence in the Social Sciences. Heidelberg: Springer (143–148).
Hamann, Eduarda & Maria Gabrielsen Jumbert (2020) Brazil’s Evolving "Balancing Act" on the Use of Force in Multilateral Operations: From Robust Peacekeeping to "Responsibility While Protecting", in Esteves, Paulo; Maria Gabrielsen Jumbert; & Benjamin de Carvalho, eds, Status and the Rise of Brazil. Global Ambitions, Humanitarian Engagement and International Challenges. New York, NY: Palgrave Macmillan (153–173).
Hillesund, Solveig & Gudrun Østby (2020) Inequality, Identity, and Conflict, in Hampson, Fen Osler; Alpaslan Ozerdem; & Jonathan Kent, eds, Routledge Handbook of Peace, Security and Development. New York: Routledge.
Horst, Cindy (2020) Collective hope in dark times: Refugee political agency influencing migration trajectories, in Renewing the migration debate. Building disciplinary and geographical bridges to explain global migration. Amsterdam: KNAW (66–71).
Jumbert, Maria Gabrielsen & Torkjell Leira (2020) A Brief Moment in History or the Beginning of a New Trend? Brazil’s Emerging Humanitarian Engagement in a Broader Context, in Esteves, Paulo; Maria Gabrielsen Jumbert; & Benjamin de Carvalho, eds, Status and the Rise of Brazil Global Ambitions, Humanitarian Engagement and International Challenges. New York, NY: Palgrave Macmillan (177–194).
Martins, Bruno Oliveira & Neven Ahmad (2020) The Security Politics of Innovation: Dual-use Technology in the EU’s Security Research Programme, in Calcara, Antonio; Raluca Csernatoni; & Chantal Lavallée, eds, Emerging Security Technologies and EU Governance Actors, Practices and Processes. Oxon: Routledge.
Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv & Håvard Strand (2020) Safety and Security, in Handbook on Governance Statistics. New York: United Nations (189–220).
Tønnesson, Stein (2020) Four Aspects of the Crisis in the South China Sea, in Buszynski, Leszek; & - Do Thanh Hai, eds, The South China Sea from a Regional Maritime Dispute to Geo-Strategic Competition. London: Routledge (9–23).
Tønnesson, Stein (2020) The East Asian Peace, in The SAGE Handbook of Asian Foreign Policy (2 vols). London: SAGE reference (1097–1117).
Vesco, Paola & Halvard Buhaug (2020) Climate and conflict, in Routledge Handbook of Peace, Security and Development. New York: Routledge (105–120).

Edited Volume

Esteves, Paulo; Maria Gabrielsen Jumbert; & Benjamin de Carvalho, eds, (2020) Status and the Rise of Brazil: Global Ambitions, Humanitarian Engagement and International Challenges. New York, NY: Palgrave Macmillan.
Gleditsch, Nils Petter (ed.) (2020) Lewis Fry Richardson: His Intellectual Legacy and Influence in the Social Sciences. Heidelberg: Springer. Pioneers in Arts, Humanities, Science, Engineering, Practice (27).

Non-refereed Journal Article

Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia has designated itself as the loser in the trilateral oil war, UIK Panorama.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia ushers in a brave new post-arms control world, Korean Journal on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Energy 4(7): 52–67.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) The Russian-Saudi Oil Deal Bodes Ill for Russian Intervention in Syria, UIK Panorama(30.04): 1–3.

Popular Article

Arellano, Adrian; Christian Davenport & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2020) Ender protestene med bare nok en rapport? [Will the US protests simply end in another report?], Aftenposten, 11 June.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Amidst Pandemic, Putin Stages Three Simulated Triumphs, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 15 June.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Amidst subdued celebrations, Russia reflects upon the meaning of Victory, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 11 May.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Boris Nemtsov towers over Russian politics, five years after assassination, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 2 March.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Coronavirus crisis engulfs Russia, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 27 April.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Crisis in Russia deepens and spreads, but Putin remains in denial, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 20 July.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Distorted data and fanciful beliefs inform Russia's crisis mismanagement, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 18 May.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Facing grave emergency, Putin dodges responsibility, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 6 April.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) From ostentatious parade to fraudulent vote, Putin tries to cement his crumbling rule, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 29 June.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Kremlin fails to see anger and anxiety rising in Russia, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 1 June.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Moscow downplays the mixed messages from Munich, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 18 February.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Moscow plays hard ball in the High North, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 10 February.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Pondering upon post-pandemic revolutions... and Russia, ISPI Commentary, 10 April.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Putin nullifies all further speculations about a leadership transition in Russia, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 16 March.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Putin's leadership damagaed by chain of recent blunders, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 30 March.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Putin's non-decisions paralize crisis-stricken Russia, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 4 May.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Putin's surprise and Russia's foreign policy, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 20 January.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia accepts and emulates China's coronavirus propaganda, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 20 April.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia exploits Middle East to subvert Europe, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 27 January.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia moves from a year of disappointment to a year of no expectations, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 13 January.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia muddles through the fog of Libyan war and haze of Syrian "peace", Eurasia Daily Monitor, 8 June.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia sinks into economic quicksand, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 23 March.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia stages parade fro troubled naval fleet, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 27 July.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia struggles with the Chinese challenge, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 3 February.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russian oil bluff is called, and economic losses keep mounting, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 13 April.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Russia's multiplying foreign policy constraints, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 26 May.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Scant foreign policy choices for a troubled and divided Russia, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 6 July.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) The imperatives and limitations of Putin's rational choices, Order from Chaos, 28 April.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) The Russian side of the murky story in Belarus, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 3 August.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Three controversial articles by top officials distort Russia's past, present and future, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 22 June.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Wave of post-referendum repressions make Russia more dangerous, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 13 July.
Carrozza, Ilaria (2020) The Global South in Times of Crisis: A China–Africa Relations View, E-International Relations, 14 May.
Hegre, Håvard; Lisa Hultman & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2020) Norge bør fronte fredsbevarende operasjoner [Norway should support peacekeeing operations], Dagens Næringsliv, 29 February.
Jensehaugen, Jørgen (2020) Hva skal verden gjøre med Israels anneksjon på Vestbredden? [What will the world do about Israel's plan to annex the West Bank?], Aftenposten, 2 June.
Martins, Bruno Oliveira; Chantal Lavallée & Andrea Silkoset (2020) Drones in Times of Pandemic: Caution behind the Hype, Global Policy, 22 April.
Sandvik, Kristin Bergtora (2020) Safeguarding: good intentions, difficult process, ALNAP, 22 May.
Tzimitras, Harry (2020) East Med juggles win/losses and win/wins, Petroleum Economist, 2 January.

PRIO Report

Mullen, Fiona; Mustafa Besim; & Michalis Florentiades (2020) Delivering the Cyprus Peace Dividend, PRIO Cyprus Centre Report, 1. Nicosia: PRIO Cyprus Centre.
Mullen, Fiona; Mustafa Besim; & Michalis Florentiades (2020) Kıbrıs’ta Barışın Sağlayacağı Getirileri Elde Etmek [Delivering the Cyprus Peace Dividend], PRIO Report, 1. Nicosia: PRIO Cyprus Centre.
Mullen, Fiona; Mustafa Besim; & Michalis Florentiades (2020) Επιτυγχάνοντας το Μέρισμα της Ειρήνης στην Κύπρο [Delivering the Cyprus Peace Dividend], PRIO Cyprus Centre Report, 1. Nicosia: PRIO Cyprus Centre.
Tziarras, Zenonas; & Sigvart Nordhov Fredriksen (2020) The Libya Conflict and its Security Implications for the Broader Region, Re-imagining the Eastern Mediterranean Series: PCC Report, 4. Nicosia: PRIO Cyprus Centre.

Master Thesis

Ghai, Chris (2020) Finding the needle in the haystack: Fine-tuning transformers to classify protest events in a sea of news articles, with Bayesian uncertainty measures. MA thesis, Department of Mathematics, University of Oslo, Oslo.

Conference Paper

Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv (2020) Timing Matters: The Impact of Regularity of Election Cycles on Autocratic Stability, presented at Working Paper, PRIO, Oslo, 22.04.2020.

PRIO Policy Brief

Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad & Andreas Forø Tollefsen (2020) Children Affected by Armed Conflict, 1990–2018, Conflict Trends, 1. Oslo: PRIO.
Jarland, Julie; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Scott Gates; Emilie Hermansen & Vilde Bergstad Larsen (2020) How Should We Understand Patterns of Recurring Conflict?, Conflict Trends, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Fredrik Methi (2020) Are the Coronavirus Ceasefires Working?, Conflict Trends, 4. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia & Ibrahim Jalal (2020) The Yemen War: Addressing Seven Misconceptions, MidEast Policy Brief, 1. Oslo: PRIO.
Jensehaugen, Jørgen; Bruno Oliveira Martins; Hilde Henriksen Waage & Júlia Palik (2020) A House Divided: EU Policy on the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict, MidEast Policy Brief, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Jensehaugen, Jørgen (2020) Jordan and COVID-19: Effective Response at a High Cost, MidEast Policy Brief, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Tank, Pinar (2020) Turkey and COVID-19: Balancing Health and Economic Priorities, MidEast Policy Brief, 4. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia (2020) Iran and COVID-19: Timing Matters, MidEast Policy Brief, 5. Oslo: PRIO.
Martins, Bruno Oliveira & Mathias Hatleskog Tjønn (2020) Israel and COVID-19: The politics of health, security, and government formation, MidEast Policy Brief, 6. Oslo: PRIO.
Tartir, Alaa & Yara Hawari (2020) Palestine and COVID-19: Global Standards, Local Constraints, MidEast Policy Brief, 7. Oslo: PRIO.
Ioannou, Ioannis Sotirios & Zenonas Tziarras (2020) Turning the Tide in Libya: Rival Administrations in a New Round of Conflict, PRIO Cyprus Centre Policy Brief, 1. Nicosia: PRIO Cyprus Centre.
Sakor, Bintu Zahara (2020) Youth Bulges in the Sahel: A Demographic Threat?, PRIO Policy Brief, 1. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia (2020) Education for Rohingya Refugee Children in Malaysia, PRIO Policy Brief, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Marsh, Nicholas (2020) Exporting Coercive Power: Regulations and Best Practices for Security Force Assistance, PRIO Policy Brief, 3. Oslo: PRIO.

PRIO Paper

Dupuy, Kendra; Júlia Palik & Gudrun Østby (2020) Walking the Talk? Financing for Education in Emergencies, 2015–2018, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Gjerløw, Haakon & Jørgen Jensehaugen (2020) Dealing with COVID-19 in the Middle East, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Hatay, Mete (2020) Covid 19 and north Cyprus: Pandemic, politics and non-recognized struggles, Occasional Paper Series. Nicosia: Prio Cyprus Centre.
Marsh, Nicholas; Øystein H. Rolandsen; Julian Karssen & Marie Sandnes (2020) Compounding Fragmentation: Security Force Assistance to Fragile States in the Sahel and Horn of Africa, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Martins, Bruno Oliveira; Arthur Holland Michel & Andrea Silkoset (2020) Countering the Drone Threat: Implications of C-Uas Technology for Norway in an EU and NATO Context, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Fredrik Methi; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Govinda Clayton (2020) The Strategic Use of Ceasefires in the Coronavirus Crisis, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Tank, Pinar (2020) The Shifting Turkish Agenda in Syria’s Evolving Conflict: Understanding the Drivers of Turkey’s Policy in Syria, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.

Report - External Series

(2020) Russia's Syrian Predicament Grows Unmanageable, PONARS Eurasia Memo, 654. Washington DC: George Washington University.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) The Limits of Authoritarian Compatibility: Xi's China and Putin's Russia, Global China. Washington DC: Brookings Institution.
Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Transformation of Russia's Strategic Culture: Impacts from Local Wars and Global Confrontation, Russie.Nei.Visions, 118. Paris: IFRI.

Newsletter

Elvebakken, Johanne Rokke & Kelly James Hoolihan Fisher (2020) PRIO Gender, Peace and Security Update - June 2020, PRIO Gender, Peace and Security Update, 2020: .
Elvebakken, Johanne Rokke (2020) PRIO Gender, Peace and Security Update - March 2020, PRIO Gender, Peace and Security Update, 2020: .

Book Review

Baev, Pavel K. (2020) Review of Michael O'Hanlon, ed., The Senkaku Paradox: Risking Great Power War Over Small Stakes, in JPR .