What are the trends in conflict?
Conflict Patterns
Is the world becoming more peaceful? The overarching goal of all peace research, including PRIO, is to promote this trend. It is therefore not surprising that PRIO is engaged in tracking conflict trends. For a large number of trends, the current statistics convey a very pleasant result: The world getting more peaceful!
The Conflict Patterns group is:
- Collecting data on political violence in many different forms and shapes. Our aim is to both update existing numbers and discover new concepts of political violence that should be tracked
- Analyzing and discussing external data sources. PRIOs rather unique mix of researchers from different subjects assure a healthy combination of perspectives and methods
- Thinking forward! What are the key obstacles to peace on earth, and how might we best understand what direction these obstacles might be developing? And, crucially, examining whether we can, effectively, interfere positively in these processes.
01/12/2022
PRIO Data Reveals One in Six Children Live in a Conflict Zone
PRIO Data Reveals One in Six Children Live in a Conflict Zone
This week Save the Children launched its new report Stop the War on Children: The Forgotten Ones.
05/09/2022
PhD Course in Advanced Qualitative Methods in Conflict Studies
PhD Course in Advanced Qualitative Methods in Conflict Studies
The PRIO Research School on Peace and Conflict hosted doctoral candidates at the PhD-level course from 29 August to 2 September 2022.
30/06/2022
New Conflict Data for 2021: Sharp Increase in the Number of Deaths
New Conflict Data for 2021: Sharp Increase in the Number of Deaths
The 2021 update of the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) data on organized violence is now available.
26/04/2022
Håvard Hegre Awarded ERC Advanced Grant
Håvard Hegre Awarded ERC Advanced Grant
Håvard Hegre has been awarded a European Research Council Advanced Grant of EUR 2.
08/02/2022
ViEWS Receives Prestigious ERC Grant as the Only Project in Norway
ViEWS Receives Prestigious ERC Grant as the Only Project in Norway
The research project ViEWS - A political Violence Early-Warning System has received an ERC Proof of Concept Grant as the only project in Norway in this round of competition.
13/12/2021
Peace Science Infrastructure: PRIO to Head Large New Collaboration
Peace Science Infrastructure: PRIO to Head Large New Collaboration
Friday, we got to know that a large project has been funded by the Research Council of Norway's INFRASTRUKTUR initiative, that aims to build up relevant, up-to-date infrastructure that is accessible to the research community, to various private and public sector user groups, and to the general public.
30/11/2021
Record Number of Children at Risk of Being Recruited by Armed Actors
Record Number of Children at Risk of Being Recruited by Armed Actors
Today, Save the Children launched its new report Stop the War on Children: A crisis of recruitment.
30/11/2021
Syria and Yemen Top Statistic on Number of Children at Risk of Recruitment by Armed Actors
Syria and Yemen Top Statistic on Number of Children at Risk of Recruitment by Armed Actors
Save the Children's report Stop the War on Children: A crisis of recruitment shows that, in 2020, almost all children in Syria and Yemen were at risk of recruitment by armed actors.
17/08/2021
CHS and PRIO to Launch Report on Conflict Trends in the Arab World
CHS and PRIO to Launch Report on Conflict Trends in the Arab World
The Center for Conflict and Humanitarian Studies (CHS), in collaboration with the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) , will jointly release a major report analysing conflict trends in the Arab world from 1946 to 2019.
09/07/2021
PRIO Data Travel the World
PRIO Data Travel the World
The journalist Joshua Goodman of the Associated Press yesterday released the article “Global COVID deaths hit 4 million amid rush to vaccinate».
Anna Marie Obermeier, Håvard Strand & Georgina Berry (2023)
Trends in State-Based Armed Conflict, 1946–2022
Trends in State-Based Armed Conflict, 1946–2022
Conflict Trends by Anna Marie Obermeier, Håvard Strand & Georgina Berry
Halvard Buhaug (2023)
What is in a number? Some reflections on disaster displacement modelling
What is in a number? Some reflections on disaster displacement modelling
Journal Article in International Migration
Kathleen J. Brown, Roos Haer & Gudrun Østby (2023)
Local food price volatility and educational dropout in sub-Saharan Africa
Local food price volatility and educational dropout in sub-Saharan Africa
Journal Article in Population and Development Review
Henry Thomson et al. (2022)
Urban Social Disorder 3.0: A global, city-level event dataset of political mobilization and disorder
Urban Social Disorder 3.0: A global, city-level event dataset of political mobilization and disorder
Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
Robert Nagel et al. (2021)
72 Million Children Are at Risk for Sexual Violence in Conflict. What Can Be Done?
72 Million Children Are at Risk for Sexual Violence in Conflict. What Can Be Done?
Popular article in PRIO Blog
Gudrun Østby et al. (2022)
What happens to childhood vaccine rates in conflict zones? This analysis found some surprises
What happens to childhood vaccine rates in conflict zones? This analysis found some surprises
Popular article in Monkey Cage at The Washington Post
Charles Butcher et al. (2022)
Introducing the Anatomy of Resistance Campaigns (ARC) dataset
Introducing the Anatomy of Resistance Campaigns (ARC) dataset
Journal Article in Journal of Peace Research
Roos Haer et al. (2021)
1 in 8 Children Are at Risk of Being Recruited by Armed Actors
1 in 8 Children Are at Risk of Being Recruited by Armed Actors
Popular article in PRIO Blog
Gudrun Østby & Ragnhild Nordås (2021)
Protection of Education in Conflict Zones – a Step in the Right Direction
Protection of Education in Conflict Zones – a Step in the Right Direction
Popular article in PRIO Blog
Siri Aas Rustad et al. (2021)
Maternal Health Care Among Refugees and Host Communities in Northern Uganda: Access, Quality, and Discrimination
Maternal Health Care Among Refugees and Host Communities in Northern Uganda: Access, Quality, and Discrimination
Journal Article in Frontiers in Global Women's Health
Thursday, 13 Jan 2022 15:00–16:00 UTC+01
Negotiating Disarmament
Negotiating Disarmament
Monday, 27 Sep 2021 18:00–20:00 UTC+02
Do Not Split - Filmseminar om protestene i Hong Kong
Do Not Split - Filmseminar om protestene i Hong Kong
Wednesday, 25 Aug 2021 15:00–16:30 UTC+02
Report Launch: Conflict Trends in the Arab World
Report Launch: Conflict Trends in the Arab World
Thursday, 17 Jun 2021 12:00–13:30 UTC+02
Conflict Trends Update: 1946-2020
Conflict Trends Update: 1946-2020
Thursday, 10 Dec 2020 14:00–16:00 UTC+01
Launch of the UNDP/PRIO report on attitudes and perceptions towards the peace process in Colombia
Launch of the UNDP/PRIO report on attitudes and perceptions towards the peace process in Colombia
Monday, 9 Mar 2020 09:00–11:00 UTC+01
Fulfilling the SDGs for Hidden and Vulnerable Populations
Fulfilling the SDGs for Hidden and Vulnerable Populations
Monday, 9 Dec 2019 12:00–14:00 UTC+01
Why War? What Stands Between Us and Peace?
Why War? What Stands Between Us and Peace?
Friday, 6 Dec 2019 13:30–15:00 UTC+01
Where is it Worst or Best to be a Woman?
Where is it Worst or Best to be a Woman?
Thursday, 24 Oct 2019 12:00–13:30 UTC+02
Social Media and Protest
Social Media and Protest
Thursday, 6 Jun 2019 12:00–14:00 UTC+02
Forgotten Conflicts - Hidden Trends
Forgotten Conflicts - Hidden Trends
Jun 2018 –
Ceasefires
Ceasefires
Sep 2017 –
Children in Conflict: Basic Mapping
Children in Conflict: Basic Mapping
Oct 2020 – Dec 2023
Conflict Cartographer: Conflict expert prediction in Africa
Conflict Cartographer: Conflict expert prediction in Africa
Jul 2013 –
Conflict Trends
Conflict Trends
Jan 2020 –
Conflict Trends Reporting
Conflict Trends Reporting
Aug 2021 – Jul 2025
From Curse to Demographic Dividends: Sub-Saharan Africa's Youth Bulges (DIVIDENDS)
From Curse to Demographic Dividends: Sub-Saharan Africa's Youth Bulges (DIVIDENDS)
Oct 2020 – May 2024
Geographies of Conflict-Induced Migration (CONMIG)
Geographies of Conflict-Induced Migration (CONMIG)
Jan 1998 –
Norwegian Initiative on Small Arms Transfers (NISAT)
Norwegian Initiative on Small Arms Transfers (NISAT)
May 2023 – Apr 2028
Peace Science Infrastructure
Peace Science Infrastructure
Jun 2011 –
Small Arms survey
Small Arms survey
Jul 2020 – Dec 2024
TRUST: Attitudinal Impacts of Refugees on Host Communities in the Global South
TRUST: Attitudinal Impacts of Refugees on Host Communities in the Global South
Aug 2021 –
Unlocking Sub-Saharan Africa's Demographic Dividend: Youth Bulges, Human Capital and Insecurity
Unlocking Sub-Saharan Africa's Demographic Dividend: Youth Bulges, Human Capital and Insecurity
Coordinator
Gudrun Østby
Research Professor
Full members
Associated members
