Halvard Buhaug

Research Professor at PRIO; Professor of Political Science, NTNU

Halvard Buhaug
Email: halvard@prio.org
Work phone: +47 22 54 77 63
Twitter: @buhaug

Background

​​​​Bio Note

Halvard Buhaug is Research Professor at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO); Professor of Political Science at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU); and Associate Editor of Journal of Peace Research and Political Geography. He leads and has directed a number of research projects on security dimensions of climate change and geographic aspects of armed conflict, funded by the European Union, the World Bank, the US Department of Defense, the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, and the Research Council of Norway. Recent publications include the award-winning, co-authored Inequality, Grievances, and Civil War (Cambridge University Press 2013) and journal articles in, inter alia, Global Environmental Change, International Security, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Political Geography, and PNAS. He is the recipient of the 2015 Karl Deutsch Award and holder of an ERC Consolidator Grant.

 

For more information, visit my personal web page: www.hbuhaug.com

Events

PRIO started tracking events online in 2007. This listing is not complete. Past events may be mentioned in our news archive.

Publications

For more details on my work, including ​access to all publications, visit my personal web page at www.hbuhaug.com. A complete and up-to-date list of my article publications is accessible through ResearcherID.

Recent publications

Hegre, Håvard; Halvard Buhaug; Katherine V. Calvin; Jonas Nordkvelle; Stephanie T. Waldhoff & Elisabeth Gilmore (2016) Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways, Environmental Research Letters 11(5): 054002.
Buhaug, Halvard; Lars-Erik Cederman & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (2016) Ulikhet, eksklusjon og borgerkrig [Inequality, Exclusion, and Civil War], Politica 48(1): 12–29.

All publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Hegre, Håvard; Halvard Buhaug; Katherine V. Calvin; Jonas Nordkvelle; Stephanie T. Waldhoff & Elisabeth Gilmore (2016) Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways, Environmental Research Letters 11(5): 054002.
Buhaug, Halvard; Lars-Erik Cederman & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (2016) Ulikhet, eksklusjon og borgerkrig [Inequality, Exclusion, and Civil War], Politica 48(1): 12–29.
Buhaug, Halvard; Tor Arve Benjaminsen; Espen Sjaastad & Ole Magnus Theisen (2015) Climate variability, food production shocks, and violent conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa, Environmental Research Letters 10(12): 125015–.
Buhaug, Halvard (2015) Climate–conflict research: some reflections on the way forward, Wires Climate Change 6(3): 269–275.
Linke, Andrew; Sebastian Schutte & Halvard Buhaug (2015) Population Attitudes and the Spread of Political Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa, International Studies Review 17(1): 26–45.
Tollefsen, Andreas Forø & Halvard Buhaug (2015) Insurgency and Inaccessibility, International Studies Review 17(1): 6–25.
Wischnath, Gerdis & Halvard Buhaug (2014) Rice or riots: On food production and conflict severity across India, Political Geography 43: 6–15.
Buhaug, Halvard; Jonas Nordkvelle; Thomas Bernauer; Tobias Böhmelt; Michael Brzoska; Joshua W. Busby; Antonio Ciccone; Hanne Fjelde; Erik Gartzke; Nils Petter Gleditsch; Jack A. Goldstone; Håvard Hegre; Helge Holtermann; Vally Koubi; Jasmin S. A. Link; Peter Michael Link; Päivi Lujala; John O'Loughlin; Clionadh Raleigh; Jürgen Scheffran; Janpeter Schilling; Todd G. Smith; Ole Magnus Theisen; Richard S. J. Tol; Henrik Urdal & Nina von Uexkull (2014) One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict, Climatic Change 127(3): 391–397.
Buhaug, Halvard; Lars-Erik Cederman & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (2014) Square Pegs in Round Holes: Inequalities, Grievances, and Civil War, International Studies Quarterly 58(2): 418–431.
Böhmelt, Tobias; Thomas Bernauer; Halvard Buhaug; Nils Petter Gleditsch; Theresa Tribaldos & Gerdis Wischnath (2014) Demand, Supply, and Restraint: Determinants of Domestic Water Conflict and Cooperation, Global Environmental Change 29: 337–348.
Wischnath, Gerdis & Halvard Buhaug (2014) On Climate Variability and Civil War in Asia, Climatic Change 122(4): 709–721.
Buhaug, Halvard (2014) Concealing Agreements over Climate-Conflict Results, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111(6).
Buhaug, Halvard & Henrik Urdal (2013) An urbanization bomb? Population growth and social disorder in cities, Global Environmental Change 23(1): 1–10.
Theisen, Ole Magnus; Nils Petter Gleditsch & Halvard Buhaug (2013) Is climate change a driver of armed conflict?, Climatic Change 117(3): 613–625.
Bernauer, Thomas; Tobias Böhmelt; Halvard Buhaug; Nils Petter Gleditsch; Theresa Tribaldos; Eivind Berg Weibust; & Gerdis Wischnath (2012) Water-Related Intrastate Conflict and Cooperation (WARICC): A New Event Dataset, International Interactions 38(4): 529–545.
Benjaminsen, Tor Arve; Koffi Alinon; Halvard Buhaug & Jill Tove Buseth (2012) Does Climate Change Drive Land-use Conflicts in the Sahel, Journal of Peace Research 49(1): 97–111.
Tollefsen, Andreas Forø; Håvard Strand; & Halvard Buhaug (2012) PRIO-GRID: A Unified Spatial Data Structure, Journal of Peace Research 49(2): 363–374.
Theisen, Ole Magnus; Helge Holtermann; & Halvard Buhaug (2012) Climate Wars? Assessing the Claim that Drought Breeds Conflict, International Security 36(3): 79–106.
Buhaug, Halvard;Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede;Holtermann, Helge;Østby, Gudrun; & Tollefsen, Andreas Forø (2011) It's the Local Economy, Stupid! Geographic Wealth Dispersion and Conflict Outbreak Location , Journal of Conflict Resolution 55(5): 814–840.
Dyrstad, Karin; Halvard Buhaug; Kristen Ringdal; Albert Simkus; & Ola Listhaug (2011) Microfoundations of Civil Conflict Reconciliation: Ethnicity and Context, International Interactions 37(4): 363–387.
Buhaug, Halvard;Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede;Holtermann, Helge;Østby, Gudrun; & Tollefsen, Andreas Forø (2011) It’s the Local Economy, Stupid! Geographic Wealth Dispersion and Conflict Outbreak Location , Journal of Conflict Resolution 55(5): 814–840.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Halvard Buhaug; Åshild Falch; & Scott Gates (2011) All Conflict Is Local: Modeling Sub-National Variation in Civil Conflict Risk, Conflict Management and Peace Science 28(1): 15–40.
Urdal, Henrik;Theisen, Ole Magnus;Gleditsch, Nils Petter; & Buhaug, Halvard (2010) Klimakriger? En vurdering av det faglige grunnlaget [Climate Wars? An Assessment of the Scientific Foundation] , Norsk Statsvitenskapelig Tidsskrift 26(4): 297–320.
Buhaug, Halvard (2010) Climate Not to Blame for African Civil Wars, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 107(38): 16477–16482.
Buhaug, Halvard (2010) Dude, Where's My Conflict? LSG, Relative Strength, and the Location of Civil War, Conflict Management and Peace Science 27(2): 107–128.
Buhaug, Halvard; Scott Gates & Päivi Lujala (2009) Geography, Rebel Capability, and the Duration of Civil Conflict, Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(4): 544–569.
Cederman, Lars-Erik; Halvard Buhaug & Jan Ketil Rød (2009) Ethno-Nationalist Dyads and Civil War: A GIS-Based Analysis, Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(4): 496–525.
Buhaug, Halvard; & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (2008) Contagion or Confusion? Why Conflicts Cluster in Space, International Studies Quarterly 52(2): 215–233.
Buhaug, Halvard; Lars-Erik Cederman; & Jan Ketil Rød (2008) Disaggregating Ethno-Nationalist Civil Wars: A Dyadic Test of Exclusion Theory, International Organization 62(3): 531–551.
Buhaug, Halvard;Gleditsch, Nils Petter; & Theisen, Ole Magnus (2008) Implications of Climate Change for Armed Conflict .
Buhaug, Halvard (2006) Relative Capability and Rebel Objective in Civil War, Journal of Peace Research 43(6): 691–708.
Buhaug, Halvard; & Jan Ketil Rød (2006) Local Determinants of African Civil Wars, 1970-2001, Political Geography 25(3): 315–335.
Buhaug, Halvard; & Päivi Lujala (2005) Accounting for Scale: Measuring Geography in Quantitative Studies of Civil War, Political Geography 24(4): 399–418.
Buhaug, Halvard (2005) Dangerous Dyads Revisited: Democracies May Not Be that Peaceful after All, Conflict Management and Peace Science 22(2): 95–111.
Buhaug, Halvard & Scott Gates (2002) The Geography of Civil War, Journal of Peace Research 39(4): 417–433.

Monograph

Cederman, Lars-Erik; Kristian Skrede Gleditsch & Halvard Buhaug (2013) Inequality, Grievances, and Civil War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Cambridge Studies in Contentious Politics.

Book Chapter

Buhaug, Halvard & Hanne Seter (2014) Environmental Change and Armed Conflict, in Routledge Handbook of Civil Wars. New York: Routledge (197–210).
Buhaug, Halvard; Henrik Urdal & Gudrun Østby (2013) Sustainable Cities: Urbanization and Human Security, in Sygna, Linda; Karen O'Brien; & Johanna Wolf, eds, A Changing Environment For Human Security - Transformative Approaches to Research, Policy and Action. London: Routledge (56–66).
Buhaug, Halvard; & Theisen, Ole Magnus(2012) On Environmental Change and armed Conflict Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict. Challenges For Societal Stability. : J. Scheffran, M. Brozka, H.G. Brauch, P.M Link, and J. Schilling(43–56).
Theisen, Ole Magnus;Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede; & Buhaug, Halvard(2012) Climate Change and Armed Conflict, in Brown, Graham K.; & Langer, Arnim, eds, Elgar Handbook of Civil War and Fragile States. : Edward Elgar Publishing(125–138).
Gleditsch, Nils Petter; & Buhaug, Halvard(2011) Årsaker til krig [Causes of War] Anarki, Makt Og Normer: Innføring I Internasjonal Politikk. : Abstrakt Forlag(167–190).
Buhaug, Halvard (2008) Dangerous Dyads Revisited: Democracies May Not Be that Peaceful after All, in Causes and Consequences of International Conflict. London: (122–144).
Buhaug, Halvard & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2006) The Death of Distance? The Globalization of Armed Conflict, in Kahler, Miles; & Barbara F. Walter, eds, Territoriality and Conflict In an Era of Globalization. New York: Cambridge University Press (187–216).

Non-refereed Journal Article

Buhaug, Halvard; Fiona McConnell; Jo Sharp; James D. Sidaway & Philip E. Steinberg (2016) Changes at Political Geography, Political Geography 50: A1–A2.
Buhaug, Halvard; Henrik Urdal & Jack S. Levy (2014) 50 Years of Peace Research: An Introduction to the Journal of Peace Research Anniversary Special Issue, Journal of Peace Research 51(2): 139–144.
Buhaug, Halvard (2010) Reply to Burke et al.: Bias and Climate War Research, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 107(51): 186–187.
Buhaug, Halvard (2010) Usikker sammenheng mellom klima og konflikt [Uncertain connection between climate and conflict] , Klima 2010(6): 24–26.
Buhaug, Halvard; Scott Gates; Håvard Hegre; Håvard Strand; & Henrik Urdal (2009) Nils Petter Gleditsch: A Lifetime Achiever, European Political Science 8(1): 79–89.

Popular Article

Buhaug, Halvard (2010) Myten om klimakriger [The Climate Wars Myth], Aftenposten, 8 September.
Buhaug, Halvard (2009) Konflikter i bevegelser [Conflicts in Transition], Forsvarets Forum, Juli/August.

Conference Paper

Buhaug, Halvard (2013) Attempts to Improve Urban Poor’s Access to Liveable Housing in India, presented at Sixth Beijing Forum on Human Rights, Beijing, China, 12–13 September.
Buhaug, Halvard & Gerdis Wischnath (2013) On climate-conflict dynamics across India, presented at 54th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, CA, 3–6 April.
Wischnath, Gerdis & Halvard Buhaug (2012) Heat Waves and Rebel Raves? On Climate Variability and Civil War in Asia, presented at Annual convention of the International Studies Association, San Diego, CA, 1–4 April.
Urdal, Henrik; Kristian Hoelscher & Halvard Buhaug (2012) Does Urbanization Lead to More Peace? Rural-Urban Age Structure Differentials and Civil War, presented at The Annual convention of the International Studies Association, San Diego, CA, 1–4 April.
Buhaug, Halvard;Cederman, Lars-Erik; & Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede 2011 Square Pegs in Round Holes: Inequalities, Grievances, and Civil War, presented at American Political Science Association (APSA), , 1–4 September.
Buhaug, Halvard; & Henrik Urdal (2010) An Urbanization Bomb? Population Growth and Social Disorder in Cities, presented at DKNVS 250 Anniversary Conference on Climate Change and Security, Trondheim, 21 June.
Buhaug, Halvard;Cederman, Lars-Erik; & Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede 2010 Square Pegs in Round Holes: Grievances, Inequalities, and Civil War, presented at Peace Science Society (International), , 22–23 October.
Buhaug, Halvard; & Urdal, Henrik 2010 An Urbanization Bomb? Population Growth and Social Disorder in Cities, presented at Urban Affairs Association, , 10 March.
Buhaug, Halvard;Falch, Åshild; & Gleditsch, Nils Petter 2010 The Bottom Billion and Climate Change, presented at International Studies Association Annual Convention, , 17–20 February.
Theisen, Ole Magnus;Holtermann, Helge; & Buhaug, Halvard 2010Drought, Political Exclusion, and Civil War, presented at International Studies Association Annual Convention17–20 February.
Buhaug, Halvard; & Henrik Urdal (2009) Will Climate Change Lead to more Urban Violence? Urbanization, Urban Environmental Problems, and Social Disorder in Cities, presented at 50th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, New York, NY, 15–18 February.
Rustad, Siri Aas;Buhaug, Halvard;Falch, Åshild; & Gates, Scott 2009 Subnational Variation in Civil Conflict Risk, presented at 50th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, , 15–18 February.
Buhaug, Halvard;Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede;Holtermann, Helge; & Østby, Gudrun 2009 Poverty, Inequality, and Conflict: Using Within-Country Variation to Evaluate Competing Hypotheses, presented at 50th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, , 15–18 February.
Rød, Jan Ketil; & Halvard Buhaug (2008) Civil Wars: Prospects and Problems with the Use of Local Indicators, presented at International Studies Association, San Francisco, CA, 26–29 March.
Buhaug, Halvard;Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede;Holtermann, Helge; & Østby, Gudrun 2008Poverty, Inequality, and Conflict: Using Within-Country Variation to Evaluate Competing Hypotheses, presented at Peace Science Society (International)24 October.

PRIO Policy Brief

Buhaug, Halvard & Ida Rudolfsen (2015) A Climate of Conflicts?, Conflict Trends, 5. Oslo: PRIO.

PRIO Paper

Buhaug, Halvard & Jonas Nordkvelle (2014) Climate and conflict: A Comment on Hsiang et al.'s Reply to Buhaug et al., PRIO Paper. Oslo: Peace Research Institute Oslo.
Buhaug, Halvard; Håvard Hegre & Håvard Strand (2010) Sensitivity Analysis of Climate Variability and Civil War, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.

Report - Other

Buhaug, Halvard; Scott Gates; Håvard Hegre; & Håvard Strand (2007) Global Trends in Armed Conflict, Globale Norge - hva nå?. Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Report - External Series

Rustad, Siri Aas;Falch, Åshild;Gates, Scott; & Buhaug, Halvard (2009) Risk Assessment and Mitigation Measures for Natural and Conflict-Related Hazards in Asia-Pacific, NGI Report, 200716001. : Norwegian Geotechnical Institute.

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